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atlanticcouncil.org article

Five trends to watch in the global economy in 2026 - Atlantic Council

https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/dispatches/five-trends-to-watch-in-the-global…

Of course, much of the excitement around Chinese tech—and the confidence in its AI development—was driven this past year by the January 2025 release of the [DeepSeek-R1 reasoning model](https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/content-series/inflection-points/deepseek-poses-a-manhattan-project-sized-challenge-for-trump/). For China and the BRICS group of countries in particular, these cross-border payments platforms could also lend a hand in their de-dollarization strategies: new rails for trade, energy payments, and remittances that do not have to run through dollar-based correspondent banking. From Trump’s proposal to send two-thousand-dollar [checks](https://www.cnbc.com/2026/01/08/stimulus-check-trump-tariffs-2000.html) to US citizens (thanks to tariff revenue) to Germany’s aim to ramp up defense spending, major economies across the G20 have big plans for additional stimulus in 2026. And on China, while the chart above shows International Monetary Fund and other official estimates for China’s GDP growth, some economists, including ones from Rhodium Group, [argue](https://rhg.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Chinas-Economy-Rightsizing-2025-Looking-Ahead-to-2026.pdf) that China’s real GDP growth could be as low as 2.5 percent for 2026, which would push China below the line displayed.

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imf.org article

World Economic Outlook Update, January 2026: Global Economy

https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2026/01/19/world-economic-outl…

# World Economic Outlook Update. World Economic Outlook Update, January 2026: Global Economy: Steady amid Divergent Forces. #### Resilient growth as technology and adaptability offset trade policy headwinds. World Economic Outlook Update, January 2026: Global Economy: Steady amid Divergent Forces. Global growth is projected at 3.3 percent for 2026 and 3.2 percent for 2027, revised slightly up since the October 2025 World Economic Outlook. World Economic Outlook Update, January 2026: Projections Table. ###### World Economic Outlook Update, October 2025: Three Essential Questions. ###### Press Briefing: World Economic Outlook, October 2025. ###### World Economic Outlook, October 2025: Key Facts. ###### World Economic Outlook Update, October 2025: Three Essential Questions. ###### Press Briefing: World Economic Outlook, October 2025. ###### World Economic Outlook, October 2025: Key Facts. ###### World Economic Outlook Update, October 2025: Three Essential Questions. ###### Press Briefing: World Economic Outlook, October 2025. ###### World Economic Outlook, October 2025: Key Facts. Regional Economic Outlook Reports, All Regions.

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deloitte.com article

Global economic outlook 2026 | Deloitte Insights

https://www.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/topics/economy/global-economic-outloo…

Inflation trended higher in 2025 from the lows of mid-2024, with the headline rate in line with the Bank of Canada’s 2% target and underlying measures trading closer to the top of the 1%-to-3% target band.[6](https://www.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/topics/economy/global-economic-outlook-2026.html#endnote-6) Inflation expectations, however, remain contained, and given the economy expanded below its potential pace for three successive years, price pressures are expected to remain limited. Real GDP was 2.1% higher in the second quarter compared with a year earlier.[15](https://www.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/topics/economy/global-economic-outlook-2026.html#endnote-15) Consumer spending and business investment have been the primary growth engines despite significant headwinds. This will likely be fueled by reforms in key sectors like telecom and banking, which are attracting new investment, government spending on infrastructure and election-related activities, and the country’s strong agricultural exports.[92](https://www.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/topics/economy/global-economic-outlook-2026.html#endnote-92) However, risks remain. Inflation is expected to remain elevated at 13.2% for the 2025/26 fiscal year,[96](https://www.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/topics/economy/global-economic-outlook-2026.html#endnote-96) driven by high food and fuel costs, currency depreciation, and increased government spending ahead of elections.

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unctad.org article

World Economic Situation and Prospects 2026 | UN Trade and Development (UNCTAD)

https://unctad.org/publication/world-economic-situation-and-prospects-2026

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goldmansachs.com article

2026 Outlooks - Goldman Sachs

https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/outlooks/2026-outlooks

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imf.org article

World Economic Outlook, April 2026 - International Monetary Fund

https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2026/04/14/world-economic-outl…

![World Economic Outlook, April 2026](https://www.imf.org/-/media/images/imf/publications/weo/2026/april/english/weo-april-2026-hero.jpg?h=1077&iar=0&w=2656). ![World Economic Outlook, April 2026: Global Economy in the Shadow of War](https://www.imf.org/-/media/images/imf/publications/weo/2026/april/english/weo-april-2026-cover.jpg?h=2200&iar=0&w=1700). * [![](https://www.imf.org/-/media/images/imf/flagship/section-images/icon-pdf.svg?iar=0)Assumptions and Conventions](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/assumandconv.pdf). * [![](https://www.imf.org/-/media/images/imf/flagship/section-images/icon-pdf.svg?iar=0)Executive Summary](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/execsum.pdf). * [![](https://www.imf.org/-/media/images/imf/flagship/section-images/icon-pdf.svg?iar=0)Foreword](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/foreword.pdf). * [![](https://www.imf.org/-/media/images/imf/flagship/section-images/icon-pdf.svg?iar=0)IMF Executive Board Discussion of the Outlook](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/execboard.pdf). * [![](https://www.imf.org/-/media/images/imf/flagship/section-images/icon-blog.svg?iar=0)Blog](https://www.imf.org/en/blogs/articles/2026/04/14/war-darkens-global-economic-outlook-and-reshapes-policy-priorities). * [![](https://www.imf.org/-/media/images/imf/flagship/section-images/icon-database.svg?iar=0)April 2026 Database](https://data.imf.org/en/datasets/IMF.RES:WEO). [Download Table](https://www.imf.org/-/media/images/imf/publications/weo/2026/april/english/weo-april-2026-projections-table.jpg). ![World Economic Outlook, April 2026: Projections Table](https://www.imf.org/-/media/images/imf/publications/weo/2026/april/english/weo-april-2026-projections-table.jpg?h=4720&iar=0&w=2600). [![Chapter 1: Global Prospects and Policies](https://www.imf.org/-/media/images/imf/publications/weo/2026/april/english/world-economic-outlook-april-2026-chapter-1.jpg?h=1080&iar=0&w=1620)](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/ch1.pdf). * [![](https://www.imf.org/-/media/images/imf/flagship/section-images/icon-pdf.svg?iar=0)Read Chapter 1](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/ch1.pdf). * [![](https://www.imf.org/-/media/images/imf/flagship/section-images/icon-data1.svg?iar=0)Chapter 1 Data](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/data/ch1data.xlsx). * [![](https://www.imf.org/-/media/images/imf/flagship/section-images/icon-pdf.svg?iar=0)Online Annex](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/ch1onlineannex.pdf). * [![](https://www.imf.org/-/media/images/imf/flagship/section-images/icon-blog.svg?iar=0)Blog](https://www.imf.org/en/blogs/articles/2026/04/14/war-darkens-global-economic-outlook-and-reshapes-policy-priorities). * [![](https://www.imf.org/-/media/images/imf/flagship/section-images/icon-database.svg?iar=0)April 2026 Database](https://data.imf.org/en/datasets/IMF.RES:WEO). [![Chapter 2: Defense Spending: Macroeconomic Consequences and Trade-offs](https://www.imf.org/-/media/images/imf/publications/weo/2026/april/english/world-economic-outlook-april-2026-chapter-2.jpg?h=1080&iar=0&w=1620)](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/ch2.pdf). * [![](https://www.imf.org/-/media/images/imf/flagship/section-images/icon-pdf.svg?iar=0)Read Chapter 2](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/ch2.pdf). * [![](https://www.imf.org/-/media/images/imf/flagship/section-images/icon-data1.svg?iar=0)Chapter 2 Data](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/data/ch2data.xlsx). * [![](https://www.imf.org/-/media/images/imf/flagship/section-images/icon-blog.svg?iar=0)Chapters 2 and 3 Blog](https://www.imf.org/en/blogs/articles/2026/04/08/wars-impose-lasting-economic-costs-while-more-defense-spending-means-hard-choices?cid=wp-com-sm26-WEOEA2026001). * [![](https://www.imf.org/-/media/images/imf/flagship/section-images/icon-pdf.svg?iar=0)Online Annexes](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/ch2onlineannex.pdf). 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[Data assumptions, conventions, and classifications](https://www.imf.org/-/media/Files/Publications/WEO/2026/April/English/statsappendix.ashx). ###### [Statistical Appendix A:](https://www.imf.org/-/media/Files/Publications/WEO/2026/April/English/tableA.ashx). [Key Global Economic Indicators](https://www.imf.org/-/media/Files/Publications/WEO/2026/April/English/tableA.ashx). ###### [Statistical Appendix B:](https://www.imf.org/-/media/Files/Publications/WEO/2026/April/English/tableB.ashx). [Supplemental Global Economic Indicators](https://www.imf.org/-/media/Files/Publications/WEO/2026/April/English/tableB.ashx). [![World Economic Outlook](https://www.imf.org/-/media/images/imf/publications/weo/weo-nodate.png?h=776&iar=0&w=600)](/en/publications/weo). [![Global Financial Stability Report](https://www.imf.org/-/media/images/imf/publications/gfsr/gfsr-nodate.png?h=776&iar=0&w=600)](/en/publications/gfsr). 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spglobal.com research

Global Economic Outlook: March 2026 | S&P Global

https://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en/news-insights/research/2026/0…

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