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V
vistage.com
research
https://www.vistage.com/research-center/business-financials/economic-trends/2…
* [Search](https://www.vistage.com/research-center/business-financials/economic-trends/20251103-business-trends-for-2026-and-beyond-executive-summary/#vrc-search-wrapper-header). * [Leadership](https://www.vistage.com/research-center/category/business-leadership/). * [Customer Engagement](https://www.vistage.com/research-center/category/customer-engagement/). * [Financials](https://www.vistage.com/research-center/category/business-financials/). [Economic / Future Trends](https://www.vistage.com/research-center/category/business-financials/economic-trends/). * [Click to share on LinkedIn (Opens in new window)LinkedIn](https://www.vistage.com/research-center/business-financials/economic-trends/20251103-business-trends-for-2026-and-beyond-executive-summary/?share=linkedin&nb=1). * [Click to share on Facebook (Opens in new window)Facebook](https://www.vistage.com/research-center/business-financials/economic-trends/20251103-business-trends-for-2026-and-beyond-executive-summary/?share=facebook&nb=1). * [Click to share on X (Opens in new window)X](https://www.vistage.com/research-center/business-financials/economic-trends/20251103-business-trends-for-2026-and-beyond-executive-summary/?share=x&nb=1). Watch Marc Emmer explore [business trends for 2026 and beyond](https://www.vistage.com/research-center/business-financials/economic-trends/20250813-business-trends-2026-and-beyond/) in this on-demand webinar.**_. ## [The Economic Picture](https://www.vistage.com/research-center/business-financials/economic-trends/20251027-economic-trends-for-2026-and-beyond/). ## [Workforce & Social Shifts](https://www.vistage.com/research-center/business-financials/economic-trends/20251006-social-and-workforce-trends-for-2026-and-beyond/). ## [Technology Trends](https://www.vistage.com/research-center/business-financials/economic-trends/20261013-technology-trends-for-2026-and-beyond/). ## [AI as a Lever](https://www.vistage.com/research-center/business-financials/economic-trends/20251020-ai-trends-for-2026-and-beyond/). * [Click to share on LinkedIn (Opens in new window)LinkedIn](https://www.vistage.com/research-center/business-financials/economic-trends/20251103-business-trends-for-2026-and-beyond-executive-summary/?share=linkedin&nb=1). * [Click to share on Facebook (Opens in new window)Facebook](https://www.vistage.com/research-center/business-financials/economic-trends/20251103-business-trends-for-2026-and-beyond-executive-summary/?share=facebook&nb=1). * [Click to share on X (Opens in new window)X](https://www.vistage.com/research-center/business-financials/economic-trends/20251103-business-trends-for-2026-and-beyond-executive-summary/?share=x&nb=1). Category : [Economic / Future Trends](https://www.vistage.com/research-center/category/business-financials/economic-trends/). ### Leave a Reply [Cancel reply](https://www.vistage.com/research-center/business-financials/economic-trends/20251103-business-trends-for-2026-and-beyond-executive-summary/#respond). * [From Engagement to Strategy: The CEO AI Leadership Blind Spot](https://www.vistage.com/research-center/business-operations/business-technology/ceo-ai-leadership/) Generative AI is moving at record speed — yet adoption alone does not equal leadership. * [Explore Vistage:](https://www.vistage.com/research-center/business-financials/economic-trends/20251103-business-trends-for-2026-and-beyond-executive-summary/). * [Learn About Vistage:](https://www.vistage.com/research-center/business-financials/economic-trends/20251103-business-trends-for-2026-and-beyond-executive-summary/). * [Apply for Vistage:](https://www.vistage.com/research-center/business-financials/economic-trends/20251103-business-trends-for-2026-and-beyond-executive-summary/). * [Popular Resources:](https://www.vistage.com/research-center/business-financials/economic-trends/20251103-business-trends-for-2026-and-beyond-executive-summary/). * [Tariffs Resource Center](https://www.vistage.com/research-center/business-financials/economic-trends/20250321-the-ceo-pulse-tariffs-resource-center/). * [Vistage Success:](https://www.vistage.com/research-center/business-financials/economic-trends/20251103-business-trends-for-2026-and-beyond-executive-summary/).
J
jpmorgan.com
article
https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/markets-and-economy/business-leaders-outloo…
* [Business Leaders Outlook](https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/markets-and-economy/business-leaders-outlook). [Start reading](https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/markets-and-economy/business-leaders-outlook/2026-us-business-leaders-outlook#executive-summary). 3. [Challenges & opportunities](https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/markets-and-economy/business-leaders-outlook/2026-us-business-leaders-outlook#challenges-and-opportunities "scroll down to challenges and opportunities section"). * [Summary](https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/markets-and-economy/business-leaders-outlook/2026-us-business-leaders-outlook#executive-summary). * [Outlook](https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/markets-and-economy/business-leaders-outlook/2026-us-business-leaders-outlook#economic-outlook-and-expectations). * [Challenges](https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/markets-and-economy/business-leaders-outlook/2026-us-business-leaders-outlook#challenges-and-opportunities). * [Innovation Economy](https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/markets-and-economy/business-leaders-outlook/2026-us-business-leaders-outlook#innovation-economy). * [About](https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/markets-and-economy/business-leaders-outlook/2026-us-business-leaders-outlook#about-the-survey). ## Economic outlook for 2026[1](https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/markets-and-economy/business-leaders-outlook/2026-us-business-leaders-outlook#footnote-1 "go to footnote 1"). The annual Business Leaders Outlook survey, alongside historical data from the [midyear 2025 Pulse](https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/markets-and-economy/business-leaders-outlook/2025-us-midyear-business-leaders-outlook "Leaders focus on strategy plans as economic uncertainty rises") survey in June and prior reports, shows that sentiment has fluctuated meaningfully over the past year. cited labor or tariffs as a top challenge[2](https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/markets-and-economy/business-leaders-outlook/2026-us-business-leaders-outlook#footnote-2 "footnote 2"). ### Rankings of most cited challenges by respondent type[2](https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/markets-and-economy/business-leaders-outlook/2026-us-business-leaders-outlook#footnote-2 "go to footnote 2"). ### [Leaders focus on strategy plans as economic uncertainty rises](https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/markets-and-economy/business-leaders-outlook/2025-us-midyear-business-leaders-outlook). [Read more](https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/markets-and-economy/business-leaders-outlook/2025-us-midyear-business-leaders-outlook). ### [Economic confidence snaps into focus](https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/markets-and-economy/business-leaders-outlook/2025-us-business-leaders-outlook). [Read more](https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/markets-and-economy/business-leaders-outlook/2025-us-business-leaders-outlook). [Read more](https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/markets-and-economy/business-leaders-outlook/business-leaders-outlook-innovation-economy-around-the-world). ### [2024 Australia Business Leaders Outlook: Cautiously optimistic for the year ahead](https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/markets-and-economy/business-leaders-outlook/australia-business-leaders-outlook). [Read more](https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/markets-and-economy/business-leaders-outlook/australia-business-leaders-outlook). ### [2024 India Business Leaders Outlook: Confidence is strong, but recession concerns remain](https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/markets-and-economy/business-leaders-outlook/india-business-leaders-outlook). [Read more](https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/markets-and-economy/business-leaders-outlook/india-business-leaders-outlook). [Read more](https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/markets-and-economy/business-leaders-outlook/uk-business-leaders-outlook). [Read more](https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/markets-and-economy/business-leaders-outlook/france-business-leaders-outlook). [Read more](https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/markets-and-economy/business-leaders-outlook/germany-business-leaders-outlook).
C
cbo.gov
official
https://www.cbo.gov/publication/62105
Inflation from 2026 to 2029 is now expected to be higher than the agency projected last year, mostly because of the effects of higher tariffs.
I
imf.org
article
https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2026/01/19/world-economic-outl…
# World Economic Outlook Update. World Economic Outlook Update, January 2026: Global Economy: Steady amid Divergent Forces. #### Resilient growth as technology and adaptability offset trade policy headwinds. World Economic Outlook Update, January 2026: Global Economy: Steady amid Divergent Forces. Global growth is projected at 3.3 percent for 2026 and 3.2 percent for 2027, revised slightly up since the October 2025 World Economic Outlook. World Economic Outlook Update, January 2026: Projections Table. ###### World Economic Outlook Update, October 2025: Three Essential Questions. ###### Press Briefing: World Economic Outlook, October 2025. ###### World Economic Outlook, October 2025: Key Facts. ###### World Economic Outlook Update, October 2025: Three Essential Questions. ###### Press Briefing: World Economic Outlook, October 2025. ###### World Economic Outlook, October 2025: Key Facts. ###### World Economic Outlook Update, October 2025: Three Essential Questions. ###### Press Briefing: World Economic Outlook, October 2025. ###### World Economic Outlook, October 2025: Key Facts. Regional Economic Outlook Reports, All Regions.
S
siepr.stanford.edu
research
https://siepr.stanford.edu/publications/policy-brief/us-economy-2026-what-watch
Most members clearly weighted the risks to the labor market more heavily than those of inflation, including Fed Chair Jerome Powell, though he did so while chanting the mantra that “there is no risk-free path for policy.” [[1](https://siepr.stanford.edu/publications/policy-brief/us-economy-2026-what-watch#1)]. Taken together, this research finds little indication that AI has impacted aggregate U.S. labor market conditions so far.[[8](https://siepr.stanford.edu/publications/policy-brief/us-economy-2026-what-watch#8)] Although unemployment has increased, it has risen most among workers in occupations with the least AI exposure, suggesting that other factors are at play. As two of us (Bernstein and Cummings) have written,[[11](https://siepr.stanford.edu/publications/policy-brief/us-economy-2026-what-watch#11)] there are certainly bubbly features: Valuations of AI-exposed firms have risen sharply even as revenue from AI-specific products and services remains limited. For example, Joseph Briggs of Goldman Sachs estimates[[12](https://siepr.stanford.edu/publications/policy-brief/us-economy-2026-what-watch#12)] that generative AI could create $8 trillion of value for U.S. firms through labor productivity gains. Analysis suggests that higher wholesale power costs, investment to replace aging grid infrastructure, extreme weather events, state policies such as net-metered solar and renewable energy standards, and rising demand from data centers and electric vehicles have all contributed to higher prices.[[14](https://siepr.stanford.edu/publications/policy-brief/us-economy-2026-what-watch#14)].
I
imf.org
article
https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo
* [About](https://www.imf.org/en/about). * [Fiscal Policies](https://www.imf.org/en/topics/fiscal-policies). * [World Economic Outlook](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo). * [Global Financial Stability Report](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/gfsr). * [World Economic Outlook](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo). * [Global Financial Stability Report](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/gfsr). * [Regional Economic Reports](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/reo). ###### [World Economic Outlook](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo). [Global Economy in the Shadow of War](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2026/04/14/world-economic-outlook-april-2026). [April 14, 2026](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2026/04/14/world-economic-outlook-april-2026). ###### [Global Financial Stability Report](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/gfsr). [Global Financial Markets Confront the War in the Middle East and Amplification Risks](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/gfsr/issues/2026/04/14/global-financial-stability-report-april-2026). [April 14, 2026](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/gfsr/issues/2026/04/14/global-financial-stability-report-april-2026). [Fiscal Policy under Pressure: High Debt, Rising Risks](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/fm/issues/2026/04/15/fiscal-monitor-april-2026). ###### [Regional Economic Outlook](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/reo). ###### [Global Economy in the Shadow of War](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2026/04/14/world-economic-outlook-april-2026). ###### [Global Economy: Steady amid Divergent Forces](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2026/01/19/world-economic-outlook-update-january-2026). ###### [Global Economy in Flux, Prospects Remain Dim](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2025/10/14/world-economic-outlook-october-2025). ###### [Global Economy: Tenuous Resilience amid Persistent Uncertainty](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2025/07/29/world-economic-outlook-update-july-2025). ###### [A Critical Juncture amid Policy Shifts](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2025/04/22/world-economic-outlook-april-2025). ###### [Global Growth: Divergent and Uncertain](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2025/01/17/world-economic-outlook-update-january-2025). ###### [World Economic Outlook, October 2024: Policy Pivot, Rising Threats](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2024/10/22/world-economic-outlook-october-2024). ###### [The Global Economy in a Sticky Spot](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2024/07/16/world-economic-outlook-update-july-2024). ###### [Steady but Slow: Resilience amid Divergence](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2024/04/16/world-economic-outlook-april-2024). ###### [World Economic Outlook Update, January 2024: Moderating Inflation and Steady Growth Open Path to Soft Landing](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2024/01/30/world-economic-outlook-update-january-2024).
M
morganstanley.com
article
https://www.morganstanley.com/Themes/outlooks
### [2026 Global Outlook: A Strong Year for Risk Assets](/insights/podcasts/thoughts-on-the-market/global-economic-outlook-2026-cross-asset-perspective-seth-carpenter-serena-tang). **Seth Carpenter:** Yesterday, Serena, we discussed our views on the global economy, and today I'm going to turn the tables on you and start asking you questions about our market outlook and how to invest across regions and across asset classes. And this steepening will be very much driven by what happens in the two-year point – I think as markets continue to, we think, underpriced, future Fed easing and growth slow down tail risks. [Explore Episode](/insights/podcasts/thoughts-on-the-market/global-economic-outlook-2026-cross-asset-perspective-seth-carpenter-serena-tang). ### [2026 Global Outlook: Slower Growth and Inflation](/insights/podcasts/thoughts-on-the-market/global-economic-outlook-part-1-serena-tang-seth-carpenter). **Seth Carpenter:** We really think next year is going to be the global economy slowing down a little bit more just like it did this year, settling into a slower growth rate. Layer on top of that, the Fed who's been clearly willing to start to ease interest rates sooner than we thought at the time of the mid-year outlook – all comes together for a little bit better outlook for growth for 2026 in the U.S. [Explore Episode](/insights/podcasts/thoughts-on-the-market/global-economic-outlook-part-1-serena-tang-seth-carpenter).
L
library.hbs.edu
research
https://www.library.hbs.edu/working-knowledge/eight-trends-for-2026-pricing-p…
## [Alberto Cavallo](https://www.library.hbs.edu/working-knowledge/collections/alberto-f-cavallo): Tariffs will likely fuel gradual price increases. ## [Jaya Wen](https://www.library.hbs.edu/working-knowledge/collections/jaya-y-wen) and [Iyoha Ebehi](https://www.library.hbs.edu/working-knowledge/collections/ebehi-iyoha): Treat tariff volatility as a design constraint. The work finds that retail prices in exposed categories can [rise by up to 20% within six months](https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=67299). ## [Jeff Bussgang](https://www.library.hbs.edu/working-knowledge/collections/jeffrey-bussgang): Huge opportunities, more risks for entrepreneurs. ## [Maria Roche](https://www.library.hbs.edu/working-knowledge/collections/maria-p-roche): Innovation will still need interaction. Jachimowicz](https://www.library.hbs.edu/working-knowledge/collections/jon-m-jachimowicz): Passion can’t be the short-term fix for leaders. ## [Ashley Whillans](https://www.library.hbs.edu/working-knowledge/collections/ashley-v-whillans): Using time wisely can boost happiness. 2. **Protect your time for what matters most.** My recent work [tracking people in committed relationships](https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=66661) over 11 years shows that time-saving purchases predict long-term increases in relationship satisfaction. ## [Shirley Lu](https://www.library.hbs.edu/working-knowledge/collections/shirley-lu): Imperfect targets can still combat climate change. Another future is a world where we give firms’ targets the benefit of the doubt, motivating other firms to bring climate solutions to market at scale and at lower cost, and generating [economic value along the way](https://www.library.hbs.edu/working-knowledge/climate-solutions-the-next-engine-for-growth). ## [Susanna Gallani](https://www.library.hbs.edu/working-knowledge/collections/susanna-gallani): Health care re-centers on the mission.