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A
advisorperspectives.com
article
https://www.advisorperspectives.com/dshort/updates/2026/04/09/the-big-four-re…
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C
cnbc.com
article
https://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/25/recession-odds-climb-on-wall-street-as-econom…
Gross domestic product is on track to grow at a 2% pace in the first quarter, according to the Atlanta Fed's GDPNow tracker of rolling data.
S
spglobal.com
article
https://www.spglobal.com/ratings/en/regulatory/article/economic-outlook-us-q2…
* [*BRC Ratings – S&P Global](https://www.spglobal.com/ratings/en/regulatory/article/economic-outlook-us-q2-2026-curb-your-enthusiasm-s101676533). [Current Oil Price Surge To Weigh On Growth](https://www.spglobal.com/ratings/en/regulatory/article/economic-outlook-us-q2-2026-curb-your-enthusiasm-s101676533). [Baseline Forecast: Temporary Energy Shock, Forecast Conviction Low](https://www.spglobal.com/ratings/en/regulatory/article/economic-outlook-us-q2-2026-curb-your-enthusiasm-s101676533). [Inflation: Higher Energy Cost On Top Of Already Elevated Core](https://www.spglobal.com/ratings/en/regulatory/article/economic-outlook-us-q2-2026-curb-your-enthusiasm-s101676533). Before the war broke out, we were expecting to increase our growth forecast for this year closer to 2.5% on higher-than-expected growth in the second half of last year, looser financial conditions, lower uncertainty, larger assumptions for household tax refunds and big-tech AI spending, and steady growth in the first two months, as indicated by high frequency weekly economic indicators (see “[U.S. Real-Time Data: Energy-Related Inflation Risks Rise Against Steady Growth Momentum](https://www.spglobal.com/ratings/en/regulatory/article/-/view/sourceId/101672676)," March 20, 2026). * [U.S. Real-Time Data: Energy-Related Inflation Risks Rise Against Steady Growth Momentum](https://www.spglobal.com/ratings/en/regulatory/article/-/view/sourceId/101672676), March 20, 2026. * [S&P Global Ratings Raises 2026 Oil Price Assumptions On Longer-Than-Expected Oil Flows Disruption](https://www.spglobal.com/ratings/en/regulatory/article/-/view/sourceId/101675235), March 16, 2026. * [Economic Research: New U.S. Inflation Risks Emerge While Price Pressures Build For Producers](https://www.spglobal.com/ratings/en/regulatory/article/-/view/sourceId/101672683), March 3, 2026.
C
cbo.gov
official
https://www.cbo.gov/publication/62105
Inflation, as measured by the price index for personal consumption expenditures, slows from 2.8 percent in 2025 to 2.7 percent in 2026.
K
kalshi.com
article
https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecssnber/recession/kxrecssnber-26
The shutdown is estimated to have shaved off one percent of GDP growth, implying it was at 1.5% without the impact of the shutdown. That is still material drop
I
indexbox.io
article
https://www.indexbox.io/blog/recession-fears-rise-as-economists-see-30-49-pro…
We use cookies to improve your experience and for marketing. Search across reports, market insights, and blog stories. The United States is not currently experiencing a recession, but investor apprehension about a potential downturn is growing. ## Historical Perspective on Market Downturns. He observed that despite historical market instability, long-term growth has persisted. Buffett characterized unfavorable economic news as a potential advantage for investors, allowing for investments in companies at reduced valuations. Such conditions could present purchasing opportunities for investors to acquire shares of companies at lower prices. The market has experienced substantial gains in recent years, with many equities repeatedly achieving new highs. The current share price for that same fund is just over $600, reflecting the market's overall appreciation. A Quick Overview of Market Performance. Understanding the Current State of The Market and its Prospects. The Largest Producers on The Market and Their Profiles. The Largest Markets And Their Profiles. ## LIST OF TABLES.
R
rsmus.com
article
https://rsmus.com/insights/economics/economic-outlook-for-2026.html
In the United States, a modest economic tailwind fueled by expansionary fiscal policies and rate cuts will help push growth to 2.2% in 2026, write RSM US Chief Economist Joe Brusuelas and Economist Tuan Nguyen. * **Australia:** The economy will remain resilient amid global uncertainties, producing steady but modest growth of 2%, writes RSM Australia economist Devika Shivadekar. For this reason, we are attaching a 25% probability that growth will increase to 2.5% or higher as inflation eases and the Fed pushes its policy rate to 3% more quickly than investors are pricing in. Should productivity improve, those gains would create the conditions for a quicker return to the Fed’s 2% inflation target, which would provide the ingredients for stronger growth, lower Fed rates and a decline in the 10-year Treasury yield. The combination of a loosening labor market, slower pay growth and lower inflation will allow the Bank of England to cut interest rates in December and potentially twice more next year, taking rates to 3.25%.
F
finance.yahoo.com
article
https://finance.yahoo.com/economy/articles/u-enter-recession-2026-heres-14500…
Goldman Sachs, for example, recently forecast a 30% chance that the U.S. will enter a recession in the next 12 months, up from its earlier 25%