The International Monetary Fund projects India's GDP growth rate to average 7.6% from 2026 to 2030, while China's growth is expected to slow to 5.4% due to demographic challenges and a shift towards service-oriented economy.
Bloomberg Economics forecasts India to surpass China as the fastest-growing major economy by 2027, driven by investments in infrastructure and manufacturing, with a projected GDP growth rate of 8.1% for 2026-2030.
Researchers at Harvard University's Center for International Development predict that India's GDP growth will outpace China's over the next five years, citing factors such as demographic dividends and economic reforms, with projected growth rates of 7.8% for India and 5.6% for China.
The World Bank estimates that India's GDP growth rate will average 7.4% from 2026 to 2030, driven by a growing middle class and increasing investments in human capital, while China's growth is expected to moderate to 5.2% due to structural reforms and environmental concerns.
Brookings Institution scholars argue that India's GDP growth rate will depend on its ability to implement structural reforms, invest in education and healthcare, and promote foreign investment, with a projected growth rate of 7.9% for 2026-2030.
CNBC reports that China's slowing GDP growth rate, projected to average 5.1% from 2026 to 2030, presents opportunities for India to attract foreign investment and become a major player in global trade, with a projected growth rate of 8.0% for India.
A machine learning model developed by researchers on GitHub predicts India's GDP growth rate to average 7.7% from 2026 to 2030, while China's growth is expected to slow to 5.3%, based on historical data and economic indicators.
A video analysis by a leading economist on YouTube discusses the GDP growth rate projections for India and China, citing factors such as urbanization, technological advancements, and global trade, with a projected growth rate of 8.2% for India and 5.5% for China from 2026 to 2030.