8 results ·
● Live web index
news
R
rsmus.com
article
https://rsmus.com/insights/economics/economic-outlook-for-2026.html
In the United States, a modest economic tailwind fueled by expansionary fiscal policies and rate cuts will help push growth to 2.2% in 2026, write RSM US Chief Economist Joe Brusuelas and Economist Tuan Nguyen. * **Australia:** The economy will remain resilient amid global uncertainties, producing steady but modest growth of 2%, writes RSM Australia economist Devika Shivadekar. For this reason, we are attaching a 25% probability that growth will increase to 2.5% or higher as inflation eases and the Fed pushes its policy rate to 3% more quickly than investors are pricing in. Should productivity improve, those gains would create the conditions for a quicker return to the Fed’s 2% inflation target, which would provide the ingredients for stronger growth, lower Fed rates and a decline in the 10-year Treasury yield. The combination of a loosening labor market, slower pay growth and lower inflation will allow the Bank of England to cut interest rates in December and potentially twice more next year, taking rates to 3.25%.
I
imf.org
article
https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2026/01/19/world-economic-outl…
# World Economic Outlook Update. World Economic Outlook Update, January 2026: Global Economy: Steady amid Divergent Forces. #### Resilient growth as technology and adaptability offset trade policy headwinds. World Economic Outlook Update, January 2026: Global Economy: Steady amid Divergent Forces. Global growth is projected at 3.3 percent for 2026 and 3.2 percent for 2027, revised slightly up since the October 2025 World Economic Outlook. World Economic Outlook Update, January 2026: Projections Table. ###### World Economic Outlook Update, October 2025: Three Essential Questions. ###### Press Briefing: World Economic Outlook, October 2025. ###### World Economic Outlook, October 2025: Key Facts. ###### World Economic Outlook Update, October 2025: Three Essential Questions. ###### Press Briefing: World Economic Outlook, October 2025. ###### World Economic Outlook, October 2025: Key Facts. ###### World Economic Outlook Update, October 2025: Three Essential Questions. ###### Press Briefing: World Economic Outlook, October 2025. ###### World Economic Outlook, October 2025: Key Facts. Regional Economic Outlook Reports, All Regions.
Y
youtube.com
video
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vLfUrJ7Iebc
What do the IMF's latest forecasts reveal about the trajectory of the global economy? Following the release of the spring 2026 World
G
goldmansachs.com
article
https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/outlooks/2026-outlooks
* [What We Do](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/outlooks/2026-outlooks#). * [Insights](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/outlooks/2026-outlooks#). * [Our Firm](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/outlooks/2026-outlooks#). * [Careers](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/outlooks/2026-outlooks#). * [What We Do](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/outlooks/2026-outlooks#). * [Insights](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/outlooks/2026-outlooks#). * [Our Firm](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/outlooks/2026-outlooks#). * [Careers](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/outlooks/2026-outlooks#). * [What We Do](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/outlooks/2026-outlooks#). * [Insights](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/outlooks/2026-outlooks#). * [Our Firm](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/outlooks/2026-outlooks#). * [Careers](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/outlooks/2026-outlooks#). * [What We Do](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/outlooks/2026-outlooks#). * [Insights](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/outlooks/2026-outlooks#). * [Our Firm](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/outlooks/2026-outlooks#). * [Careers](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/outlooks/2026-outlooks#). . . [ The Global Economy Is Forecast to Post ‘Sturdy’ Growth of 2.8% in 2026](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/articles/the-global-economy-forecast-to-post-sturdy-growth-in-2026). [ German Economic Outlook: 1.1% Growth in 2026](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/articles/german-economic-outlook-growth-in-2026). [ Investment Banking 2026 Global M&A Outlook](https://www.goldmansachs.com/what-we-do/investment-banking/insights/articles/2026-ma-outlook). [ Goldman Sachs Exchanges: Outlook 2026 Episode 1: The Big Picture](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/goldman-sachs-exchanges/goldman-sachs-exchanges-outlook-2026-episode-1-the-big-picture). [ Goldman Sachs Exchanges: Outlook 2026 Episode 2: Regional Perspectives](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/goldman-sachs-exchanges/goldman-sachs-exchanges-outlook-2026-episode-2-regional-perspectives). [ Goldman Sachs Exchanges: Outlook 2026 Episode 3: Assets and Allocation](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/goldman-sachs-exchanges/goldman-sachs-exchanges-outlook-2026-episode-3-assets-and-allocation). [ Will US Stocks Outperform in 2026?](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/goldman-sachs-exchanges/will-us-stocks-outperform-in-2026). [Read Report](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/goldman-sachs-research/macro-outlook-2026-sturdy-growth-stagnant-jobs-stable-prices "Read Report"). [Read Report](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/goldman-sachs-research/markets-outlook-2026-some-like-it-hot "Read Report"). [Read Report](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/goldman-sachs-research/equity-outlook-2026-tech-tonic-a-broadening-bull-market "Read Report"). [Read Report](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/goldman-sachs-research/commodity-outlook-2026-ride-the-power-race-and-supply-waves "Read Report"). [Read More](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/goldman-sachs-research/uk-outlook-2026-catching-down "Read More"). [Read More](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/goldman-sachs-research/euro-area-outlook-2026-cyclical-boost-structural-drag-unchanged-rates "Read More"). [Read More](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/goldman-sachs-research/japan-economic-outlook-2026-steady-fundamentals-policy-risks-ahead "Read More"). [Read More](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/goldman-sachs-research/global-fx-outlook-2026-different-dollar-downside "Read More"). [Your Privacy Choices](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/outlooks/2026-outlooks).
S
spglobal.com
research
https://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en/news-insights/research/2026/0…
[___](https://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en/news-insights/research/2026/03/global-economic-outlook-march-2026#). * [Global Trade & Supply Chains](https://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en/news-insights/topics/global-trade-supply-chains). * [S&P Global Market Intelligence](https://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en). [Business Development & Prospecting](https://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en/solutions/products/panjiva-supply-chain-intelligence)[Demand & Strategic Planning](https://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en/solutions/supply-chain-console)[Global Trade Data & Analytics](https://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en/solutions/products/maritime-global-trade-analytics-suite)[International Logistics News & Analysis (opens in a new tab)](https://www.joc.com/)[Maritime Intelligence](https://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en/solutions/maritime-intelligence)[Sourcing & Procurement](https://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en/solutions/products/global-pricing-purchasing-service)[Supplier Risk](https://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en/solutions/products/supplier-risk)[Third Party Risk Management](https://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en/solutions/third-party-risk)[Global Risk & Economics](https://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en/solutions/global-risk-and-economics). [Business Development & Prospecting](https://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en/solutions/products/panjiva-supply-chain-intelligence)[Demand & Strategic Planning](https://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en/solutions/supply-chain-console)[Global Trade Data & Analytics](https://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en/solutions/products/maritime-global-trade-analytics-suite)[International Logistics News & Analysis (opens in a new tab)](https://www.joc.com/)[Maritime Intelligence](https://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en/solutions/maritime-intelligence)[Sourcing & Procurement](https://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en/solutions/products/global-pricing-purchasing-service)[Supplier Risk](https://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en/solutions/products/supplier-risk)[Third Party Risk Management](https://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en/solutions/third-party-risk)[Global Risk & Economics](https://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en/solutions/global-risk-and-economics). [View All Topics](https://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en/news-insights/topics). [View All Topics](https://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en/news-insights/topics). [View All Topics](https://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en/news-insights/topics). [View All Topics](https://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en/news-insights/topics). [ #### Commodities Intelligence for Capital Markets & Financial Institutions](https://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en/solutions/products/expanded-commodities-intelligence)[ ###[...]025_path-to-net-zero-7?$responsive$) #### Supply Chain & Trade Data](https://www.marketplace.spglobal.com/en/datasets?filters=%7B%22vendor%22%3A%5B%22S%26P%20Global%20Market%20Intelligence%22%5D%2C%22category%22%3A%5B%22Supply%20Chain%20%26%20Trade%22%5D%7D)[ #### Economic, Credit & Risk](https://www.marketplace.spglobal.com/en/datasets?filters=%7B%22vendor%22%3A%5B%22S%26P%20Global%20Market%20Intelligence%22%5D%2C%22category%22%3A%5B%22Credit%20%26%20Risk%22%2C%22Economic%20Indicators%22%2C%22Regulatory%22%5D%7D)[ #### Sustainability Datasets](https://www.marketplace.spglobal.com/en/datasets?filters=%7B%22vendor%22%3A%5B%22S%26P%20Global%20Market%20Intelligence%22%2C%22S%26P%20Global%20Sustainable1%22%5D%2C%22category%22%3A%5B%22Sustainability%22%5D%7D). [View All Topics](https://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en/news-insights/topics). [View All Topics](https://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en/news-insights/topics). [View All Topics](https://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en/news-insights/topics). [View All Topics](https://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en/news-insights/topics). [Global Trade & Supply Chains](https://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en/news-insights/topics/global-trade-supply-chains). [S&P Global Market Intelligence](https://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en). [](https://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en/news-insights/research/2026/03/global-economic-outlook-march-2026). * /[Research](https://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en/news-insights/research)/Global Economic Outlook: March 2026. [Click Here (opens in a new tab)](https://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en/solutions/resources/trade-supply-chains-maritime-economic-forecasting-follow-up-request). [Listen Now](https://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en/news-insights/podcasts/the-decisive).
S
siepr.stanford.edu
research
https://siepr.stanford.edu/publications/policy-brief/us-economy-2026-what-watch
Most members clearly weighted the risks to the labor market more heavily than those of inflation, including Fed Chair Jerome Powell, though he did so while chanting the mantra that “there is no risk-free path for policy.” [[1](https://siepr.stanford.edu/publications/policy-brief/us-economy-2026-what-watch#1)]. Taken together, this research finds little indication that AI has impacted aggregate U.S. labor market conditions so far.[[8](https://siepr.stanford.edu/publications/policy-brief/us-economy-2026-what-watch#8)] Although unemployment has increased, it has risen most among workers in occupations with the least AI exposure, suggesting that other factors are at play. As two of us (Bernstein and Cummings) have written,[[11](https://siepr.stanford.edu/publications/policy-brief/us-economy-2026-what-watch#11)] there are certainly bubbly features: Valuations of AI-exposed firms have risen sharply even as revenue from AI-specific products and services remains limited. For example, Joseph Briggs of Goldman Sachs estimates[[12](https://siepr.stanford.edu/publications/policy-brief/us-economy-2026-what-watch#12)] that generative AI could create $8 trillion of value for U.S. firms through labor productivity gains. Analysis suggests that higher wholesale power costs, investment to replace aging grid infrastructure, extreme weather events, state policies such as net-metered solar and renewable energy standards, and rising demand from data centers and electric vehicles have all contributed to higher prices.[[14](https://siepr.stanford.edu/publications/policy-brief/us-economy-2026-what-watch#14)].
I
imf.org
article
https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2026/04/14/world-economic-outl…
. . * [Assumptions and Conventions](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/assumandconv.pdf). * [Executive Summary](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/execsum.pdf). * [Foreword](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/foreword.pdf). * [IMF Executive Board Discussion of the Outlook](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/execboard.pdf). * [Blog](https://www.imf.org/en/blogs/articles/2026/04/14/war-darkens-global-economic-outlook-and-reshapes-policy-priorities). * [April 2026 Database](https://data.imf.org/en/datasets/IMF.RES:WEO). [Download Table](https://www.imf.org/-/media/images/imf/publications/weo/2026/april/english/weo-april-2026-projections-table.jpg). . [](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/ch1.pdf). * [Read Chapter 1](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/ch1.pdf). * [Chapter 1 Data](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/data/ch1data.xlsx). * [Online Annex](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/ch1onlineannex.pdf). * [Blog](https://www.imf.org/en/blogs/articles/2026/04/14/war-darkens-global-economic-outlook-and-reshapes-policy-priorities). * [April 2026 Database](https://data.imf.org/en/datasets/IMF.RES:WEO). [](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/ch2.pdf). * [Read Chapter 2](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/ch2.pdf). * [Chapter 2 Data](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/data/ch2data.xlsx). * [Chapters 2 and 3 Blog](https://www.imf.org/en/blogs/articles/2026/04/08/wars-impose-lasting-economic-costs-while-more-defense-spending-means-hard-choices?cid=wp-com-sm26-WEOEA2026001). * [Online Annexes](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/ch2onlineannex.pdf). [](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/ch3.pdf). * [Read Chapter 3](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/ch3.pdf). * [Chapter 3 Data](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/data/ch3data.xlsx). * [Chapters 2 and 3 Blog](https://www.imf.org/en/blogs/articles/2026/04/08/wars-impose-lasting-economic-costs-while-more-defense-spending-means-hard-choices?cid=wp-com-sm26-WEOEA2026001). * [online annexes](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/ch3onlineannex.pdf). ###### [Statistical Appendix:](https://www.imf.org/-/media/Files/Publications/WEO/2026/April/English/statsappendix.ashx). [Data assumptions, conventions, and classifications](https://www.imf.org/-/media/Files/Publications/WEO/2026/April/English/statsappendix.ashx). ###### [Statistical Appendix A:](https://www.imf.org/-/media/Files/Publications/WEO/2026/April/English/tableA.ashx). [Key Global Economic Indicators](https://www.imf.org/-/media/Files/Publications/WEO/2026/April/English/tableA.ashx). ###### [Statistical Appendix B:](https://www.imf.org/-/media/Files/Publications/WEO/2026/April/English/tableB.ashx). [Supplemental Global Economic Indicators](https://www.imf.org/-/media/Files/Publications/WEO/2026/April/English/tableB.ashx). [](/en/publications/weo). [](/en/publications/gfsr). [](/en/publications/fm). [](https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/REO).
W
worldbank.org
article
https://www.worldbank.org/en/publication/global-economic-prospects
Inflation in low-income countries](https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/bitstreams/021dbb36-16b7-4d2e-bcd5-5c05f2643591/download)[Jan. 2020, SF 2](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2020.pdf). What is potential growth?[Jan. 2018, Box 3.1](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2018.pdf). Productivity and investment growth during reforms[Jan. 2018, Box 3.5](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2018.pdf). Sources of the growth slowdown in BRICS[Jan. 2016, Box 3.1](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2016.pdf). Fading promise: How to rekindle productivity growth[Jan. 2020, Chapter 3](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2020.pdf). Sectoral sources of productivity growth[Jan. 2020, Box 3.2](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2020.pdf). Debt, financial crises, and productivity[Jan. 2020, Box 3.4](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2020.pdf). Having space and using it: Fiscal policy challenges and developing economies[Jan. 2015, Chapter 3](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2015.pdf). Fiscal policy in low-income countries[Jan. 2015, Box 3.1](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2015.pdf). Narrow fiscal space and the risk of a debt crisis[Jan. 2015, Box 3.4](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2015.pdf). What does weak growth mean for poverty in the future?[Jan. 2015, Box 1.1](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2015.pdf). Countercyclical monetary policy in emerging markets: Review and evidence[Jan. 2015, Box 1.2](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2015.pdf). Having fiscal space and using it: Fiscal challenges in developing economies[Jan. 2015, Chapter 3](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2015.pdf). Fiscal policy in low-income countries[Jan. 2015, Box 3.1](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2015.pdf). Narrow fiscal space and the risk of a debt crisis[Jan. 2015, Box 3.4](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2015.pdf). Poverty impact of food price shocks and policies[Jan. 2019, Chapter 4](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2019.pdf).