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I
imf.org
article
https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2026/04/14/world-economic-outl…
. . * [Assumptions and Conventions](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/assumandconv.pdf). * [Executive Summary](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/execsum.pdf). * [Foreword](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/foreword.pdf). * [IMF Executive Board Discussion of the Outlook](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/execboard.pdf). * [Blog](https://www.imf.org/en/blogs/articles/2026/04/14/war-darkens-global-economic-outlook-and-reshapes-policy-priorities). * [April 2026 Database](https://data.imf.org/en/datasets/IMF.RES:WEO). [Download Table](https://www.imf.org/-/media/images/imf/publications/weo/2026/april/english/weo-april-2026-projections-table.jpg). . [](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/ch1.pdf). * [Read Chapter 1](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/ch1.pdf). * [Chapter 1 Data](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/data/ch1data.xlsx). * [Online Annex](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/ch1onlineannex.pdf). * [Blog](https://www.imf.org/en/blogs/articles/2026/04/14/war-darkens-global-economic-outlook-and-reshapes-policy-priorities). * [April 2026 Database](https://data.imf.org/en/datasets/IMF.RES:WEO). [](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/ch2.pdf). * [Read Chapter 2](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/ch2.pdf). * [Chapter 2 Data](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/data/ch2data.xlsx). * [Chapters 2 and 3 Blog](https://www.imf.org/en/blogs/articles/2026/04/08/wars-impose-lasting-economic-costs-while-more-defense-spending-means-hard-choices?cid=wp-com-sm26-WEOEA2026001). * [Online Annexes](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/ch2onlineannex.pdf). [](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/ch3.pdf). * [Read Chapter 3](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/ch3.pdf). * [Chapter 3 Data](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/data/ch3data.xlsx). * [Chapters 2 and 3 Blog](https://www.imf.org/en/blogs/articles/2026/04/08/wars-impose-lasting-economic-costs-while-more-defense-spending-means-hard-choices?cid=wp-com-sm26-WEOEA2026001). * [online annexes](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/ch3onlineannex.pdf). ###### [Statistical Appendix:](https://www.imf.org/-/media/Files/Publications/WEO/2026/April/English/statsappendix.ashx). [Data assumptions, conventions, and classifications](https://www.imf.org/-/media/Files/Publications/WEO/2026/April/English/statsappendix.ashx). ###### [Statistical Appendix A:](https://www.imf.org/-/media/Files/Publications/WEO/2026/April/English/tableA.ashx). [Key Global Economic Indicators](https://www.imf.org/-/media/Files/Publications/WEO/2026/April/English/tableA.ashx). ###### [Statistical Appendix B:](https://www.imf.org/-/media/Files/Publications/WEO/2026/April/English/tableB.ashx). [Supplemental Global Economic Indicators](https://www.imf.org/-/media/Files/Publications/WEO/2026/April/English/tableB.ashx). [](/en/publications/weo). [](/en/publications/gfsr). [](/en/publications/fm). [](https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/REO).
V
visualcapitalist.com
article
https://www.visualcapitalist.com/ranked-the-countries-adding-the-most-to-glob…
China ranks first in total GDP added, projected to expand by $5.7 trillion between 2026 and 2030. The United States follows closely behind at
W
weforum.org
article
https://www.weforum.org/stories/2026/02/four-risk-trends-shaping-the-planet/
# Four global risk trends likely to shape the planet through 2030. most consequential risks of the next few years will not come from any single crisis, they will emerge from how these forces interact, reshaping power, eroding trust and fragmenting systemsImage: Shutterstock. * Meanwhile, the world may move into an era of polycurrency, while a global tech-lash likely hinders growth. They will emerge from how these forces interact – reshaping power, eroding trust and fragmenting systems. The World Economic Forum’s *2026 Global Risks Report* frames the current moment as an “age of competition,” marked by geoeconomic confrontation, information disorder and social polarization. From that research, four global risk trends stood out as likely to shape the path to 2030:. The question is whether a more polycentric world will be able to secure global stability. Some countries are selling US dollar holdings to hedge geopolitical risk, while others – including India, the UAE and China – are expanding local-currency trade arrangements.
D
deloitte.com
article
https://www.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/topics/economy/us-economic-forecast/u…
This reflects the sizable capital expenditure plans that AI “hyperscalers” have announced for this year.[4](https://www.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/topics/economy/us-economic-forecast/united-states-outlook-analysis.html#endnote-4)We now expect real business investment to grow by 4% in 2026—an acceleration from the second half of 2025. The federal deficit is expected to remain above 6% of GDP through 2030, exceeding the Congressional Budget Office’s (CBO) baseline expectation.[6](https://www.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/topics/economy/us-economic-forecast/united-states-outlook-analysis.html#endnote-6)The larger expected deficit is partially due to our lower forecast for net migration. Companies are attempting to reclaim tariffs they paid after the Supreme Court ruled that the tariffs imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act are impermissible.[11](https://www.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/topics/economy/us-economic-forecast/united-states-outlook-analysis.html#endnote-11) Because we expect companies to recoup those funds, they are also likely to be more restrained in the near term when passing tariff costs on to consumers. The University of Michigan’s survey of inflation expectations in five years was 3.2% in March, down from 4.1% one year earlier.[12](https://www.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/topics/economy/us-economic-forecast/united-states-outlook-analysis.html#endnote-12). Stock markets have shown considerable strength, with the S&P 500 stock price continuing to grow at double-digit year-over-year rates at the time of this writing.[13](https://www.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/topics/economy/us-economic-forecast/united-states-outlook-analysis.html#endnote-13)Optimism around the potential of AI has boosted earnings and raised expectations of future growth.
C
cbo.gov
official
https://www.cbo.gov/publication/62105
Nominal GDP from 2026 to 2035 and inflation from 2026 to 2029 are now expected to be higher than previously projected. The forecast of short-
C
conference-board.org
article
https://www.conference-board.org/topics/global-economic-outlook
* []( /north-america/ ). ](/signin/forgotpassword.cfm?reflink=https://www.conference-board.org/topics/global-economic-outlook). * [ X](https://x.com/intent/post?text='GLOBAL ECONOMIC OUTLOOK'https://www.conference-board.org/topics/global-economic-outlook). + [Global Economic Outlook](https://www.conference-board.org/topics/global-economic-outlook). + [US Leading Indicators](https://www.conference-board.org/topics/us-leading-indicators). + [Global Leading Indicators](https://www.conference-board.org/topics/business-cycle-indicators). + [Global Gray Swans Tool](https://www.conference-board.org/topics/geopolitics/global-gray-swans-tool-database). + [Release Calendar](https://www.conference-board.org/topics/global-economic-outlook#CalendarDiv). * **Global:** [Global Forecast Update](https://www.conference-board.org/publications/global-economic-forecast-update "Global Forecast Update") (monthly); [Global Economic Outlook 2026: Global Edition](https://www.conference-board.org/publications/global-economic-outlook-2026-new-horizons-in-productivity-and-growth) (annual, 8 December 2025); [StraightTalk®](/research/straightTalk) (quarterly publication on the global economy). * **United States:** [Economic Forecast for the US Economy](https://www.conference-board.org/publications/us-forecast) (monthly); [Economy Watch: US View reports](https://www.conference-board.org/research/economy-watch-US/) and [webcasts](https://www.conference-board.org/webcast/economy-watch/) (monthly); [Global Economic Outlook 2026: US Edition](https://www.conference-board.org/publications/global-economic-outlook-2026-US-edition) (annual, 8 December 2025). * **Europe:** [Economic Forecast for the European Economy](https://www.conference-board.org/publications/eur-forecast) (monthly); [Economy Watch: European View reports](https://www.conference-board.org/research/economy-watch-europe/) (monthly); [Global Economic Outlook 2026: Euro Area Edition](https://www.conference-board.org/publications/Global-Economic-Outlook-2026-Euro-Area-Edition) (annual, 12 December 2025). * **China:** [Economy Watch: China View reports](https://www.conference-board.org/research/economy-watch-china/) (monthly); [Global Economic Outlook 2026: China Edition](https://www.conference-board.org/publications/Global-Economic-Outlook-2026-China-Edition) (annual, 9 December 2025). * **Emerging Markets**: [Economy Watch: Emerging Markets View reports](/research/economy-watch-emerging-markets) (monthly); [Global Economic Outlook 2026: Global Edition](https://www.conference-board.org/publications/global-economic-outlook-2026-new-horizons-in-productivity-and-growth) (annual, 8 December 2025). [](/webcast/ondemand/global-economic-outlook-2026 "The Big Picture: What's Ahead for the Global Economy?").
P
philadelphiafed.org
research
https://www.philadelphiafed.org/surveys-and-data/real-time-data-research/spf-…
* [Survey of Professional Forecasters](https://www.philadelphiafed.org/surveys-and-data/real-time-data-research/survey-of-professional-forecasters). [](https://www.philadelphiafed.org/-/media/FRBP/Assets/Surveys-And-Data/survey-of-professional-forecasters/2026/spfQ126.pdf "Download"). * [Mean Probabilities for Real GDP Growth in 2026](https://www.philadelphiafed.org/-/media/FRBP/Assets/Surveys-And-Data/survey-of-professional-forecasters/2026/spfq126_real-gdp-growth-2026.jpg?la=en&sc_lang=en&hash=8B83D39A6B4EBC00E0A887B69BFC3A0B)(chart). * [Mean Probabilities for Real GDP Growth in 2027](https://www.philadelphiafed.org/-/media/FRBP/Assets/Surveys-And-Data/survey-of-professional-forecasters/2026/spfq126_real-gdp-growth-2027.jpg?la=en&sc_lang=en&hash=BAF74C43800DEA938315AED4FABB927A)(chart). * [Mean Probabilities for Real GDP Growth in 2028](https://www.philadelphiafed.org/-/media/FRBP/Assets/Surveys-And-Data/survey-of-professional-forecasters/2026/spfq126_real-gdp-growth-2028.jpg?la=en&sc_lang=en&hash=62DB63F114FD4B5E88E90C0C5059405B)(chart). * [Mean Probabilities for Real GDP Growth in 2029](https://www.philadelphiafed.org/-/media/FRBP/Assets/Surveys-And-Data/survey-of-professional-forecasters/2026/spfq126_real-gdp-growth-2029.jpg?la=en&sc_lang=en&hash=BBB9278C895861E5F22C4317E14570F2)(chart). * [Mean Probabilities for Unemployment Rate in 2026](https://www.philadelphiafed.org/-/media/FRBP/Assets/Surveys-And-Data/survey-of-professional-forecasters/2026/spfq126_unemployment-rate-2026.jpg?la=en&sc_lang=en&hash=B90469E37C32DEA295A2388E94D74CA7)(chart). * [Mean Probabilities for Unemployment Rate in 2027](https://www.philadelphiafed.org/-/media/FRBP/Assets/Surveys-And-Data/survey-of-professional-forecasters/2026/spfq126_unemployment-rate-2027.jpg?la=en&sc_lang=en&hash=EE030B6FC20DE2750E9CEEF3DBC59044)(chart). * [Mean Probabilities for Unemployment Rate in 2028](https://www.philadelphiafed.org/-/media/FRBP/Assets/Surveys-And-Data/survey-of-professional-forecasters/2026/spfq126_unemployment-rate-2028.jpg?la=en&sc_lang=en&hash=24FFE5FDE6987565D348F70940929DA2)(chart). * [Mean Probabilities for Unemployment Rate in 2029](https://www.philadelphiafed.org/-/media/FRBP/Assets/Surveys-And-Data/survey-of-professional-forecasters/2026/spfq126_unemployment-rate-2029.jpg?la=en&sc_lang=en&hash=6DB58EE3B1046332EE1DD40402390CC9)(chart). * [Projections for the 10-Year Annual-Average Rate of CPI Inflation](https://www.philadelphiafed.org/-/media/FRBP/Assets/Surveys-And-Data/survey-of-professional-forecasters/2026/spfq126_10-year-cpi-inflation.jpg?la=en&sc_lang=en&hash=C789B0C84F67C9B6AE28EBA78E9C5852) (chart). * [Projections for the 10-Year Annual-Average Rate of PCE Inflation](https://www.philadelphiafed.org/-/media/FRBP/Assets/Surveys-And-Data/survey-of-professional-forecasters/2026/spfq126_10-year-pce-inflation.jpg?la=en&sc_lang=en&hash=6B11C6B82734F9A2A8F57E3038B01AB2) (chart). * [Mean Probabilities for Core PCE Inflation in 2026](https://www.philadelphiafed.org/-/media/FRBP/Assets/Surveys-And-Data/survey-of-professional-forecasters/2026/spfq126_core-pce-inflation-2026.jpg?la=en&sc_lang=en&hash=15B64E5CDD946CA589348B09923AF69F)(chart). * [Mean Probabilities for Core PCE Inflation in 2027](https://www.philadelphiafed.org/-/media/FRBP/Assets/Surveys-And-Data/survey-of-professional-forecasters/2026/spfq126_core-pce-inflation-2027.jpg?la=en&sc_lang=en&hash=5CEECBBE7D32A34A74EEDEB2EDBC43C6)(chart). Return to the [main page for the _Survey of Professional Forecasters_](https://www.philadelphiafed.org/surveys-and-data/real-time-data-research/survey-of-professional-forecasters). * [](https://www.linkedin.com/shareArticle?mini=true&source=FRBP&url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.philadelphiafed.org%2Fsurveys-and-data%2Freal-time-data-research%2Fspf-q1-2026&title=First+Quarter+2026+Survey+of+Professional+Forecasters). * [](https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.philadelphiafed.org%2Fsurveys-and-data%2Freal-time-data-research%2Fspf-q1-2026&text=First+Quarter+2026+Survey+of+Professional+Forecasters). * [](https://www.threads.net/intent/post?url=https%3a%2f%2fwww.philadelphiafed.org%2fsurveys-and-data%2freal-time-data-research%2fspf-q1-2026&text=First+Quarter+2026+Survey+of+Professional+Forecasters). * [](mailto:?subject=First+Quarter+2026+Survey+of+Professional+Forecasters&body=https%3a%2f%2fwww.philadelphiafed.org%2fsurveys-and-data%2freal-time-data-research%2fspf-q1-2026). . . .
I
imf.org
article
https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2026/01/19/world-economic-outl…
# World Economic Outlook Update. World Economic Outlook Update, January 2026: Global Economy: Steady amid Divergent Forces. #### Resilient growth as technology and adaptability offset trade policy headwinds. World Economic Outlook Update, January 2026: Global Economy: Steady amid Divergent Forces. Global growth is projected at 3.3 percent for 2026 and 3.2 percent for 2027, revised slightly up since the October 2025 World Economic Outlook. World Economic Outlook Update, January 2026: Projections Table. ###### World Economic Outlook Update, October 2025: Three Essential Questions. ###### Press Briefing: World Economic Outlook, October 2025. ###### World Economic Outlook, October 2025: Key Facts. ###### World Economic Outlook Update, October 2025: Three Essential Questions. ###### Press Briefing: World Economic Outlook, October 2025. ###### World Economic Outlook, October 2025: Key Facts. ###### World Economic Outlook Update, October 2025: Three Essential Questions. ###### Press Briefing: World Economic Outlook, October 2025. ###### World Economic Outlook, October 2025: Key Facts. Regional Economic Outlook Reports, All Regions.