Global GDP growth is projected to remain broadly stable at 2.9% in ... Real GDP growth projections. %, year-on-year.
China ranks first in total GDP added, projected to expand by $5.7 trillion between 2026 and 2030. The United States follows closely behind at
World Economics estimates 2117.67's 2025 GDP at $0 billion in PPP terms (Purchasing Power Parity) and an initial estimate of $0 billion for 2026.
[Skip to main content](https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/global-economy-slow-2026-and-outlook-clouded-war-other-uncertainties#main). [About PIIE](https://www.piie.com/about-piie "Learn more about PIIE, an independent nonprofit, nonpartisan research organization dedicated to strengthening prosperity and human welfare in the global economy through expert analysis and practical policy solutions."). * [Topics](https://www.piie.com/research/topics-regions). * [Areas of Expertise](https://www.piie.com/research/topics-regions). * [Globalization](https://www.piie.com/research/economic-issues/globalization). * [Inequality](https://www.piie.com/research/economic-issues/inequality). * [Inflation](https://www.piie.com/research/economic-issues/inflation). * [Labor](https://www.piie.com/research/economic-issues/labor). * [Regions &Countries](https://www.piie.com/research/topics-regions). * [Research](https://www.piie.com/research). [View All](https://www.piie.com/research). * [Publications](https://www.piie.com/research/publications). Real global GDP growth is projected to slow from 3.3 percent in 2025 to 3.0 percent in 2026 before picking up to 3.1 percent in 2027 (see figure below), according to analysis presented at the Peterson Institute for International Economics Spring 2026 [Global Economic Prospects](https://www.piie.com/events/2026/global-economic-prospects-spring-2026) event. [](https://www.piie.com/research/piie-charts/2026/war-uncertainty-slow-2026-growth-across-advanced-and-emerging-economies). ## [War, uncertainty slow 2026 growth across advanced and emerging economies](https://www.piie.com/research/piie-charts/2026/war-uncertainty-slow-2026-growth-across-advanced-and-emerging-economies). ## [PIIE projects continued global economic growth in 2024 amid lingering inflation concerns](https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2024/piie-projects-continued-global-economic-growth-2024-amid-lingering). * [Growth](https://www.piie.com/research/economic-issues/growth). * [Inflation](https://www.piie.com/research/economic-issues/inflation). * [Topics](https://www.piie.com/research/topics-regions). * [Areas of Expertise](https://www.piie.com/research/topics-regions). * [Regions and Countries](https://www.piie.com/research/topics-regions). * [Research](https://www.piie.com/research). * [Publications](https://www.piie.com/research/publications). [Consent Preferences](https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/global-economy-slow-2026-and-outlook-clouded-war-other-uncertainties#). [More…](https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/global-economy-slow-2026-and-outlook-clouded-war-other-uncertainties#addtoany "Show all").
# World Economic Outlook Update. World Economic Outlook Update, January 2026: Global Economy: Steady amid Divergent Forces. #### Resilient growth as technology and adaptability offset trade policy headwinds. World Economic Outlook Update, January 2026: Global Economy: Steady amid Divergent Forces. Global growth is projected at 3.3 percent for 2026 and 3.2 percent for 2027, revised slightly up since the October 2025 World Economic Outlook. World Economic Outlook Update, January 2026: Projections Table. ###### World Economic Outlook Update, October 2025: Three Essential Questions. ###### Press Briefing: World Economic Outlook, October 2025. ###### World Economic Outlook, October 2025: Key Facts. ###### World Economic Outlook Update, October 2025: Three Essential Questions. ###### Press Briefing: World Economic Outlook, October 2025. ###### World Economic Outlook, October 2025: Key Facts. ###### World Economic Outlook Update, October 2025: Three Essential Questions. ###### Press Briefing: World Economic Outlook, October 2025. ###### World Economic Outlook, October 2025: Key Facts. Regional Economic Outlook Reports, All Regions.
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### Global growth will likely remain steady but subdued with advanced economies growing modestly and emerging markets mostly maintaining stronger momentum. **>> Global growth will likely remain steady but subdued with advanced economies growing modestly and emerging markets mostly maintaining stronger momentum.** On trade, the possibility of China and the US decoupling has increased with rising restrictions and uncertainty, but other global economies could strengthen their relationships. Moody’s outlooks offer a clear view of the key forces shaping credit markets worldwide, ranging from macroeconomic shifts to sector-specific developments to global events that are impacting credit conditions across industries and regions. Moody's Ratings publishes credit ratings and provides assessment services on a wide range of debt obligations, programs and facilities, and the entities that issue such obligations in markets worldwide, including various corporate, financial institution and governmental obligations, and structured finance securities. All other products and solutions described on this site are provided by Moody's, a global provider of data and information, research and insights, and decision solutions.