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C
cnbc.com
article
https://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/26/global-forecasting-group-sees-us-inflation-at…
[](//www.cnbc.com/). . . [Economy](https://www.cnbc.com/economy/). # Global forecasting group sees U.S. inflation at 4.2% this year, much higher than Fed estimate. [Politics](https://www.cnbc.com/politics/). In its [periodic update](https://www.oecd.org/content/dam/oecd/en/publications/reports/2026/03/oecd-economic-outlook-interim-report-march-2026_254a8d56/d4623013-en.pdf) of economic conditions, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development forecast all-items inflation in the U.S. to be at 4.2% for 2026. Moreover, it is much higher than the 2.7% [Fed officials estimated](https://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/18/fed-interest-rate-decision-march-2026.html) when they updated their own forecasts last week. The revision is due to two primary factors: the [war in the Middle East](https://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/26/trump-iran-negotiations.html), and the ongoing impact from U.S. tariffs that, while lower than prior levels, continue to boost prices around the world. The agency sees [gross domestic product](https://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/13/fourth-quarter-gdp-revised-down-to-just-0point7percent-growth-january-core-inflation-was-3point1percent.html) in the U.S. accelerating at a 2% pace this year before easing to 1.7% in 2027. [Choose CNBC as your preferred source on Google and never miss a moment from the most trusted name in business news.](https://www.google.com/preferences/source?q=https://www.cnbc.com/).
J
jpmorgan.com
research
https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/global-research/economy/global-inflation-fo…
[Skip to main content](https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/global-research/economy/global-inflation-forecast#main). * [Global Research](https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/research). * [Global Research](https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/global-research). * [Global Research](https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/research). * [Global Research](https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/research). * [Economy](https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/global-research/economy). * • [Why has global inflation been so high?](https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/global-research/economy/global-inflation-forecast#why-has-global-inflation-been-so-high?). * • [Is global inflation expected to fall in 2026?](https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/global-research/economy/global-inflation-forecast#is-global-inflation-expected-to-fall-in-2026?). * • [Are central banks expected to cut this year?](https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/global-research/economy/global-inflation-forecast#are-central-banks-expected-to-cut-this-year?). * [Why has global inflation been so high?](https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/global-research/economy/global-inflation-forecast#why-has-global-inflation-been-so-high?). * [Is global inflation expected to fall in 2026?](https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/global-research/economy/global-inflation-forecast#is-global-inflation-expected-to-fall-in-2026?). * [Are central banks expected to cut this year?](https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/global-research/economy/global-inflation-forecast#are-central-banks-expected-to-cut-this-year?). ](https://www.jpmorgan.com/content/dam/jpm/cib/complex/content/research/global_inflation_2024/Global_core_CPI_chart.svg). While there was some unwinding of the pandemic wage shock in 2023 and 2024, this was tempered by sustained service sector demand and tight [labor markets](https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/global-research/outlook/labor-market-forecast-2026), with unemployment rates reaching historic lows. The U.S. trade war is also contributing to divergent goods prices inflation, as [tariffs](https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/global-research/current-events/us-tariffs) have boosted core goods prices in America but not elsewhere. ](https://www.jpmorgan.com/content/dam/jpm/cib/complex/content/research/global_inflation_2024/Wages_core_graph.svg). In light of inflationary pressures in the U.S., J.P. Morgan Global Research expects [the Fed](https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/global-research/economy/fed-rate-cuts) to remain on hold this year. [Find out](https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/global-research/economy/fed-rate-cuts). [Learn now](https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/global-research/outlook/market-outlook). [Read more](https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/global-research/outlook/labor-market-forecast-2026). * [Cookies Policy](https://www.jpmorgan.com/cookies).
I
ibrc.indiana.edu
research
http://www.ibrc.indiana.edu/ibr/pre/outlook/international.html
. The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) reports that for the G20, headline inflation is expected to decline from 3.4% in 2025 to 2.9% in 2026, while core inflation in advanced G20 economies will fall slightly from 2.6% to 2.5%.[1](http://www.ibrc.indiana.edu/ibr/pre/outlook/international.html#_ftn1). . .
W
worldbank.org
article
https://www.worldbank.org/en/publication/global-economic-prospects
Inflation in low-income countries](https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/bitstreams/021dbb36-16b7-4d2e-bcd5-5c05f2643591/download)[Jan. 2020, SF 2](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2020.pdf). What is potential growth?[Jan. 2018, Box 3.1](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2018.pdf). Productivity and investment growth during reforms[Jan. 2018, Box 3.5](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2018.pdf). Sources of the growth slowdown in BRICS[Jan. 2016, Box 3.1](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2016.pdf). Fading promise: How to rekindle productivity growth[Jan. 2020, Chapter 3](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2020.pdf). Sectoral sources of productivity growth[Jan. 2020, Box 3.2](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2020.pdf). Debt, financial crises, and productivity[Jan. 2020, Box 3.4](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2020.pdf). Having space and using it: Fiscal policy challenges and developing economies[Jan. 2015, Chapter 3](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2015.pdf). Fiscal policy in low-income countries[Jan. 2015, Box 3.1](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2015.pdf). Narrow fiscal space and the risk of a debt crisis[Jan. 2015, Box 3.4](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2015.pdf). What does weak growth mean for poverty in the future?[Jan. 2015, Box 1.1](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2015.pdf). Countercyclical monetary policy in emerging markets: Review and evidence[Jan. 2015, Box 1.2](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2015.pdf). Having fiscal space and using it: Fiscal challenges in developing economies[Jan. 2015, Chapter 3](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2015.pdf). Fiscal policy in low-income countries[Jan. 2015, Box 3.1](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2015.pdf). Narrow fiscal space and the risk of a debt crisis[Jan. 2015, Box 3.4](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2015.pdf). Poverty impact of food price shocks and policies[Jan. 2019, Chapter 4](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2019.pdf).
D
deloitte.com
article
https://www.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/topics/economy/global-economic-outloo…
Inflation trended higher in 2025 from the lows of mid-2024, with the headline rate in line with the Bank of Canada’s 2% target and underlying measures trading closer to the top of the 1%-to-3% target band.[6](https://www.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/topics/economy/global-economic-outlook-2026.html#endnote-6) Inflation expectations, however, remain contained, and given the economy expanded below its potential pace for three successive years, price pressures are expected to remain limited. Real GDP was 2.1% higher in the second quarter compared with a year earlier.[15](https://www.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/topics/economy/global-economic-outlook-2026.html#endnote-15) Consumer spending and business investment have been the primary growth engines despite significant headwinds. This will likely be fueled by reforms in key sectors like telecom and banking, which are attracting new investment, government spending on infrastructure and election-related activities, and the country’s strong agricultural exports.[92](https://www.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/topics/economy/global-economic-outlook-2026.html#endnote-92) However, risks remain. Inflation is expected to remain elevated at 13.2% for the 2025/26 fiscal year,[96](https://www.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/topics/economy/global-economic-outlook-2026.html#endnote-96) driven by high food and fuel costs, currency depreciation, and increased government spending ahead of elections.
I
imf.org
article
https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2026/01/19/world-economic-outl…
# World Economic Outlook Update. World Economic Outlook Update, January 2026: Global Economy: Steady amid Divergent Forces. #### Resilient growth as technology and adaptability offset trade policy headwinds. World Economic Outlook Update, January 2026: Global Economy: Steady amid Divergent Forces. Global growth is projected at 3.3 percent for 2026 and 3.2 percent for 2027, revised slightly up since the October 2025 World Economic Outlook. World Economic Outlook Update, January 2026: Projections Table. ###### World Economic Outlook Update, October 2025: Three Essential Questions. ###### Press Briefing: World Economic Outlook, October 2025. ###### World Economic Outlook, October 2025: Key Facts. ###### World Economic Outlook Update, October 2025: Three Essential Questions. ###### Press Briefing: World Economic Outlook, October 2025. ###### World Economic Outlook, October 2025: Key Facts. ###### World Economic Outlook Update, October 2025: Three Essential Questions. ###### Press Briefing: World Economic Outlook, October 2025. ###### World Economic Outlook, October 2025: Key Facts. Regional Economic Outlook Reports, All Regions.
I
imf.org
article
https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo
* [About](https://www.imf.org/en/about). * [Fiscal Policies](https://www.imf.org/en/topics/fiscal-policies). * [World Economic Outlook](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo). * [Global Financial Stability Report](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/gfsr). * [World Economic Outlook](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo). * [Global Financial Stability Report](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/gfsr). * [Regional Economic Reports](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/reo). ###### [World Economic Outlook](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo). [Global Economy in the Shadow of War](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2026/04/14/world-economic-outlook-april-2026). [April 14, 2026](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2026/04/14/world-economic-outlook-april-2026). ###### [Global Financial Stability Report](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/gfsr). [Global Financial Markets Confront the War in the Middle East and Amplification Risks](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/gfsr/issues/2026/04/14/global-financial-stability-report-april-2026). [April 14, 2026](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/gfsr/issues/2026/04/14/global-financial-stability-report-april-2026). [Fiscal Policy under Pressure: High Debt, Rising Risks](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/fm/issues/2026/04/15/fiscal-monitor-april-2026). ###### [Regional Economic Outlook](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/reo). ###### [Global Economy in the Shadow of War](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2026/04/14/world-economic-outlook-april-2026). ###### [Global Economy: Steady amid Divergent Forces](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2026/01/19/world-economic-outlook-update-january-2026). ###### [Global Economy in Flux, Prospects Remain Dim](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2025/10/14/world-economic-outlook-october-2025). ###### [Global Economy: Tenuous Resilience amid Persistent Uncertainty](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2025/07/29/world-economic-outlook-update-july-2025). ###### [A Critical Juncture amid Policy Shifts](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2025/04/22/world-economic-outlook-april-2025). ###### [Global Growth: Divergent and Uncertain](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2025/01/17/world-economic-outlook-update-january-2025). ###### [World Economic Outlook, October 2024: Policy Pivot, Rising Threats](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2024/10/22/world-economic-outlook-october-2024). ###### [The Global Economy in a Sticky Spot](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2024/07/16/world-economic-outlook-update-july-2024). ###### [Steady but Slow: Resilience amid Divergence](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2024/04/16/world-economic-outlook-april-2024). ###### [World Economic Outlook Update, January 2024: Moderating Inflation and Steady Growth Open Path to Soft Landing](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2024/01/30/world-economic-outlook-update-january-2024).
S
statista.com
article
https://www.statista.com/statistics/244983/projected-inflation-rate-in-the-un…
# Projected annual inflation rate in the U.S. 2010-2030. IMF, Annual inflation rate in the United States from 2010 to 2024 with a forecast for 2030 Statista, https://www.statista.com/statistics/244983/projected-inflation-rate-in-the-united-states/ (last visited February 15, 2026). ## Other statistics on the topic Consumer Price Index and inflation in the U.S. CPI annual inflation rate UK 2019-2030. Consumer Price Index and inflation in the U.S. United States. ## **Statistics on** " Consumer Price Index and Inflation ". ### Consumer Price Index and Inflation rate. * Annual inflation rate in the U.S. 1990-2024. * Monthly inflation rate in the U.S. 2021-2025. ## Other statistics that may interest you Consumer Price Index and Inflation. Consumer Price Index and Inflation rate. Annual inflation rate in the U.S. 1990-2024. Monthly inflation rate in the U.S. 2021-2025. Retrieved February 15, 2026, from https://www.statista.com/statistics/244983/projected-inflation-rate-in-the-united-states/. Available: https://www.statista.com/statistics/244983/projected-inflation-rate-in-the-united-states/. "Annual Inflation Rate in The United States from 2010 to 2024 with a Forecast for 2030." Statista, Statista Inc., 14 Oct 2025, https://www.statista.com/statistics/244983/projected-inflation-rate-in-the-united-states/. https://www.statista.com/statistics/244983/projected-inflation-rate-in-the-united-states/. https://www.statista.com/statistics/244983/projected-inflation-rate-in-the-united-states/.