The World Trade Organization forecasts a 3.5% increase in global trade for 2026, with a moderate slowdown to 3.0% in 2027, driven by a rebound in trade volumes and a slight improvement in trade policies.
The OECD reports that global trade growth is expected to remain subdued in 2026 and 2027, due to ongoing geopolitical tensions, supply chain disruptions, and a decline in business investment, with a forecasted growth rate of 2.8% and 2.5%, respectively.
HSBC's latest trade forecast predicts a 4.2% expansion in global trade in 2026, driven by a strong rebound in emerging markets, particularly in Asia, with a slight moderation to 3.8% in 2027, as trade tensions and protectionism continue to weigh on global trade.
The U.S. Department of Commerce forecasts a 4.5% increase in U.S. exports in 2026, with a moderate growth of 3.8% in 2027, driven by a strong demand for U.S. goods and services, particularly in the technology and services sectors.
The United Nations Conference on Trade and Development reports that global trade is expected to grow at a moderate pace in 2026 and 2027, with a forecasted growth rate of 3.2% and 2.9%, respectively, driven by a rebound in trade volumes and a slight improvement in trade policies.
Bloomberg's latest video analysis discusses the global trade forecast for 2026 and 2027, highlighting the key trends and drivers of trade growth, including the impact of trade tensions, supply chain disruptions, and shifting global economic dynamics.
IBM's trade outlook tool provides businesses with a comprehensive forecast of global trade trends and patterns for 2026 and 2027, including insights on trade volumes, tariffs, and non-tariff measures, to help inform strategic decision-making.
A recent article published in the Harvard Business Review discusses the future of global trade, including the impact of emerging technologies, shifting global economic dynamics, and the rise of new trade agreements, and how these factors will shape the global trade landscape in 2026, 2027, and beyond.