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I
imf.org
article
https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2026/04/14/world-economic-outl…
. . * [Assumptions and Conventions](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/assumandconv.pdf). * [Executive Summary](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/execsum.pdf). * [Foreword](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/foreword.pdf). * [IMF Executive Board Discussion of the Outlook](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/execboard.pdf). * [Blog](https://www.imf.org/en/blogs/articles/2026/04/14/war-darkens-global-economic-outlook-and-reshapes-policy-priorities). * [April 2026 Database](https://data.imf.org/en/datasets/IMF.RES:WEO). [Download Table](https://www.imf.org/-/media/images/imf/publications/weo/2026/april/english/weo-april-2026-projections-table.jpg). . [](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/ch1.pdf). * [Read Chapter 1](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/ch1.pdf). * [Chapter 1 Data](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/data/ch1data.xlsx). * [Online Annex](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/ch1onlineannex.pdf). * [Blog](https://www.imf.org/en/blogs/articles/2026/04/14/war-darkens-global-economic-outlook-and-reshapes-policy-priorities). * [April 2026 Database](https://data.imf.org/en/datasets/IMF.RES:WEO). [](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/ch2.pdf). * [Read Chapter 2](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/ch2.pdf). * [Chapter 2 Data](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/data/ch2data.xlsx). * [Chapters 2 and 3 Blog](https://www.imf.org/en/blogs/articles/2026/04/08/wars-impose-lasting-economic-costs-while-more-defense-spending-means-hard-choices?cid=wp-com-sm26-WEOEA2026001). * [Online Annexes](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/ch2onlineannex.pdf). [](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/ch3.pdf). * [Read Chapter 3](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/ch3.pdf). * [Chapter 3 Data](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/data/ch3data.xlsx). * [Chapters 2 and 3 Blog](https://www.imf.org/en/blogs/articles/2026/04/08/wars-impose-lasting-economic-costs-while-more-defense-spending-means-hard-choices?cid=wp-com-sm26-WEOEA2026001). * [online annexes](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/ch3onlineannex.pdf). ###### [Statistical Appendix:](https://www.imf.org/-/media/Files/Publications/WEO/2026/April/English/statsappendix.ashx). [Data assumptions, conventions, and classifications](https://www.imf.org/-/media/Files/Publications/WEO/2026/April/English/statsappendix.ashx). ###### [Statistical Appendix A:](https://www.imf.org/-/media/Files/Publications/WEO/2026/April/English/tableA.ashx). [Key Global Economic Indicators](https://www.imf.org/-/media/Files/Publications/WEO/2026/April/English/tableA.ashx). ###### [Statistical Appendix B:](https://www.imf.org/-/media/Files/Publications/WEO/2026/April/English/tableB.ashx). [Supplemental Global Economic Indicators](https://www.imf.org/-/media/Files/Publications/WEO/2026/April/English/tableB.ashx). [](/en/publications/weo). [](/en/publications/gfsr). [](/en/publications/fm). [](https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/REO).
I
imf.org
article
https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/ch1.pdf
The overall effect on growth in advanced economies of the conflict in the Middle East is modest, lowering growth by 0.2 percentage point in 2026 relative to the preconflict forecast, thanks to positive terms-of-trade effects in the United States and stronger growth momentum and offsetting government measures in Japan, with a large negative effect expected only in some net energy-importing economies, such as the euro area and the United Kingdom. Growth in China for 2026 is revised upward by 0.2 percentage point, relative to October (a 0.1 percentage point downward revision from January), to 4.4 percent, reflecting the lower US effective tariff rates on Chinese goods, and stimulus measures offset the negative impact of the shock induced by the Middle East conflict. In Nigeria , growth momentum is sustained at 4.1 percent in 2026, supported by improved macroeconomic stability and positive terms-of-trade effects, while higher goods WORLD ECONOMIC OUTLOOK: GLOBAL ECONOMY IN THE SHADOW OF WAR.
I
imf.org
article
https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/statsap…
The first section summarizes the assumptions underlying the estimates and projections for. 2026–27. The second section briefly describes the
R
reuters.com
news
https://www.reuters.com/business/imf-cuts-growth-outlook-warns-potential-glob…
[Skip to main content](https://www.reuters.com/business/imf-cuts-growth-outlook-warns-potential-global-recession-if-iran-war-worsens-2026-04-14/#main-content). * [World](https://www.reuters.com/world/). ## [Browse World](https://www.reuters.com/world/). * [Iran War](https://www.reuters.com/world/iran/). * [Business](https://www.reuters.com/business/). ## [Browse Business](https://www.reuters.com/business/). * [Energy](https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/). * [Take Five](https://www.reuters.com/business/take-five/). * [Markets](https://www.reuters.com/markets/). ## [Browse Markets](https://www.reuters.com/markets/). * [U.S. Markets](https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/). With massive uncertainty over the Middle East conflict gripping finance officials gathered for IMF and World Bank spring meetings in Washington, the IMF presented [three growth scenarios](https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/imfs-middle-east-war-scenarios-global-growth-weaker-worse-really-bad-2026-04-14/): weaker, worse and severe, depending on how the war unfolds. Sign up [here.](https://www.reuters.com/newsletters/business/?location=article-paragraph&redirectUrl=%2Fbusiness%2Fimf-cuts-growth-outlook-warns-potential-global-recession-if-iran-war-worsens-2026-04-14%2F). Japan's growth is largely unchanged under the most benign scenario at a weak 0.7% for 2026 and 0.6% for 2027, but the IMF said that it expects the Bank of Japan to [hike rates](https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/imf-expects-pace-japans-interest-rate-hikes-speed-up-slightly-2026-04-14/) at a slightly faster pace than anticipated six months ago. Overall, emerging market and developing economies, where GDP tends to be more dependent on oil inputs, take a [bigger hit](https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/imf-cuts-emerging-economies-growth-estimate-war-darkens-outlook-2026-04-14/) from the Middle East conflict than advanced economies, with 2026 growth seen falling 0.3 percentage points to 3.9%. ## [Business](https://www.reuters.com/business/). * [Home](https://www.reuters.com/). * [Home](https://www.reuters.com/). * [World](https://www.reuters.com/world/). * [Business](https://www.reuters.com/business/). * [Markets](https://www.reuters.com/markets/). * [](https://www.facebook.com/Reuters). * [](https://www.instagram.com/Reuters).
I
imf.org
article
https://www.imf.org/external/datamapper/NGDPD@WEO/OEMDC/ADVEC/WEOWORLD?year=2028
British Virgin Islands no data. China, People's Republic of 23.45 thousand. Korea, Republic of 2.1 thousand. Northern Mariana Islands no data. Saint-Pierre and Miquelon no data. Türkiye, Republic of 1.76 thousand. Turks and Caicos Islands no data. United Kingdom 4.67 thousand. United States 34.26 thousand. United States Virgin Islands no data. Wallis and Futuna Islands no data. Africa (Region) 3.75 thousand. Asia and Pacific 48.8 thousand. Australia and New Zealand 2.43 thousand. Central Asia and the Caucasus 2.64 thousand. East Asia 31.94 thousand. Eastern Europe 6.53 thousand. Middle East (Region) 4.39 thousand. North Africa 1.12 thousand. North America 39.28 thousand. South America 5.04 thousand. South Asia 6.71 thousand. Southeast Asia 5.02 thousand. Sub-Saharan Africa (Region) 2.63 thousand. Western Europe 27.33 thousand. Advanced economies 77.81 thousand. ASEAN-5 4.26 thousand. Emerging and Developing Asia 34.13 thousand. Emerging and Developing Europe 7.22 thousand. Emerging market and developing economies 58.22 thousand. Middle East and Central Asia 6.21 thousand. Other advanced economies 11.25 thousand. Sub-Saharan Africa 2.56 thousand.
I
investing.com
article
https://www.investing.com/analysis/global-economic-outlook-analyzing-the-imfs…
#### Popular Searches. ##### Please try another search. * Stocks boosted by hopes for more Iran talks, PPI data; S&P 500 eyes record close. * Gold prices gain on weaker dollar amid hopes of more Iran ceasefire talks. * Adverse Scenario: In the event of broader regional instability, growth could potentially be constrained to 2.5%. Historical data suggests that higher oil prices increase the demand for dollars by Japanese importers, which can weigh on the JPY’s value.USD/JPY-Weekly Chart. Commodity Currencies and Export Dynamics**. Current economic conditions emphasize the historical role of diverse asset classes. Stocks boosted by hopes for more Iran talks, PPI data; S&P 500 eyes record close. Gold prices gain on weaker dollar amid hopes of more Iran ceasefire talks. 10 Discounted Stocks That Could Surprise This Earnings Season. AI-powered **stock picks** with a proven track record to **beat the S&P 500**. Beat the S&P 500. Trading on margin increases the financial risks. © 2007-2026 - Fusion Media Limited.
I
imf.org
article
https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2026/01/19/world-economic-outl…
# World Economic Outlook Update. World Economic Outlook Update, January 2026: Global Economy: Steady amid Divergent Forces. #### Resilient growth as technology and adaptability offset trade policy headwinds. World Economic Outlook Update, January 2026: Global Economy: Steady amid Divergent Forces. Global growth is projected at 3.3 percent for 2026 and 3.2 percent for 2027, revised slightly up since the October 2025 World Economic Outlook. World Economic Outlook Update, January 2026: Projections Table. ###### World Economic Outlook Update, October 2025: Three Essential Questions. ###### Press Briefing: World Economic Outlook, October 2025. ###### World Economic Outlook, October 2025: Key Facts. ###### World Economic Outlook Update, October 2025: Three Essential Questions. ###### Press Briefing: World Economic Outlook, October 2025. ###### World Economic Outlook, October 2025: Key Facts. ###### World Economic Outlook Update, October 2025: Three Essential Questions. ###### Press Briefing: World Economic Outlook, October 2025. ###### World Economic Outlook, October 2025: Key Facts. Regional Economic Outlook Reports, All Regions.
I
imf.org
news
https://www.imf.org/en/news/articles/2026/04/14/tr-04142026-press-briefing-tr…
* [How the IMF Supports the Global Economy](https://www.imf.org/en/about/how-the-imf-supports-the-global-economy). * [World Economic Outlook](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo). * [Global Financial Stability Report](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/gfsr). * [Commodity Prices](https://www.imf.org/en/research/commodity-prices). * [Countries](https://www.imf.org/en/countries). * [A](https://www.imf.org/en/countries#A). * [B](https://www.imf.org/en/countries#B). * [C](https://www.imf.org/en/countries#C). * [E](https://www.imf.org/en/countries#E). * [G](https://www.imf.org/en/countries#G). * [H](https://www.imf.org/en/countries#H). * [I](https://www.imf.org/en/countries#I). * [J](https://www.imf.org/en/countries#J). * [K](https://www.imf.org/en/countries#K). * [M](https://www.imf.org/en/countries#M). * [N](https://www.imf.org/en/countries#N). * [S](https://www.imf.org/en/countries#S). * [T](https://www.imf.org/en/countries#T). * [U](https://www.imf.org/en/countries#U). * [IMF and Europe](https://www.imf.org/en/countries/regions/europe). * [IMF Capacity Development Office in Thailand (CDOT)](https://www.imf.org/en/Countries/ResRep/CDOT-Region). * [IMF Regional Office for Central, Eastern and Southeastern Europe](https://www.imf.org/en/countries/resrep/bal-region). * [IMF Regional Office in Central America, Panama, and the Dominican Republic](https://www.imf.org/en/countries/resrep/cam-region). * [World Economic Outlook](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo). * [Global Financial Stability Report](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/gfsr). * [Regional Economic Reports](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/reo). * [Country Reports](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/search#cf-type=COUNTRYREPS). Our adverse scenario assumes further disruption, leading to higher energy prices and inflation expectations and tighter financial conditions throughout the year. Actually, 2025 was a relatively strong year; and before the war began, global growth prospects being resilient and non‑oil commodity prices being strong and external financial conditions being supportive actually helped a lot of countries in the region. * [Countries](https://www.imf.org/en/Countries).