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rsmus.com
article
https://rsmus.com/insights/economics/economic-outlook-for-2026.html
In the United States, a modest economic tailwind fueled by expansionary fiscal policies and rate cuts will help push growth to 2.2% in 2026, write RSM US Chief Economist Joe Brusuelas and Economist Tuan Nguyen. * **Australia:** The economy will remain resilient amid global uncertainties, producing steady but modest growth of 2%, writes RSM Australia economist Devika Shivadekar. For this reason, we are attaching a 25% probability that growth will increase to 2.5% or higher as inflation eases and the Fed pushes its policy rate to 3% more quickly than investors are pricing in. Should productivity improve, those gains would create the conditions for a quicker return to the Fed’s 2% inflation target, which would provide the ingredients for stronger growth, lower Fed rates and a decline in the 10-year Treasury yield. The combination of a loosening labor market, slower pay growth and lower inflation will allow the Bank of England to cut interest rates in December and potentially twice more next year, taking rates to 3.25%.
I
imf.org
article
https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2026/01/19/world-economic-outl…
# World Economic Outlook Update. World Economic Outlook Update, January 2026: Global Economy: Steady amid Divergent Forces. #### Resilient growth as technology and adaptability offset trade policy headwinds. World Economic Outlook Update, January 2026: Global Economy: Steady amid Divergent Forces. Global growth is projected at 3.3 percent for 2026 and 3.2 percent for 2027, revised slightly up since the October 2025 World Economic Outlook. World Economic Outlook Update, January 2026: Projections Table. ###### World Economic Outlook Update, October 2025: Three Essential Questions. ###### Press Briefing: World Economic Outlook, October 2025. ###### World Economic Outlook, October 2025: Key Facts. ###### World Economic Outlook Update, October 2025: Three Essential Questions. ###### Press Briefing: World Economic Outlook, October 2025. ###### World Economic Outlook, October 2025: Key Facts. ###### World Economic Outlook Update, October 2025: Three Essential Questions. ###### Press Briefing: World Economic Outlook, October 2025. ###### World Economic Outlook, October 2025: Key Facts. Regional Economic Outlook Reports, All Regions.
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oecd.org
article
https://www.oecd.org/en/publications/2026/03/oecd-economic-outlook-interim-re…
Global GDP growth is projected to remain broadly stable at 2.9% in 2026 before edging up to 3.0% in 2027, sustained by robust technology-related
I
imf.org
news
https://www.imf.org/en/news/articles/2026/04/14/tr-04142026-press-briefing-tr…
* [How the IMF Supports the Global Economy](https://www.imf.org/en/about/how-the-imf-supports-the-global-economy). * [World Economic Outlook](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo). * [Global Financial Stability Report](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/gfsr). * [Commodity Prices](https://www.imf.org/en/research/commodity-prices). * [Countries](https://www.imf.org/en/countries). * [A](https://www.imf.org/en/countries#A). * [B](https://www.imf.org/en/countries#B). * [C](https://www.imf.org/en/countries#C). * [E](https://www.imf.org/en/countries#E). * [G](https://www.imf.org/en/countries#G). * [H](https://www.imf.org/en/countries#H). * [I](https://www.imf.org/en/countries#I). * [J](https://www.imf.org/en/countries#J). * [K](https://www.imf.org/en/countries#K). * [M](https://www.imf.org/en/countries#M). * [N](https://www.imf.org/en/countries#N). * [S](https://www.imf.org/en/countries#S). * [T](https://www.imf.org/en/countries#T). * [U](https://www.imf.org/en/countries#U). * [IMF and Europe](https://www.imf.org/en/countries/regions/europe). * [IMF Capacity Development Office in Thailand (CDOT)](https://www.imf.org/en/Countries/ResRep/CDOT-Region). * [IMF Regional Office for Central, Eastern and Southeastern Europe](https://www.imf.org/en/countries/resrep/bal-region). * [IMF Regional Office in Central America, Panama, and the Dominican Republic](https://www.imf.org/en/countries/resrep/cam-region). * [World Economic Outlook](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo). * [Global Financial Stability Report](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/gfsr). * [Regional Economic Reports](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/reo). * [Country Reports](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/search#cf-type=COUNTRYREPS). Our adverse scenario assumes further disruption, leading to higher energy prices and inflation expectations and tighter financial conditions throughout the year. Actually, 2025 was a relatively strong year; and before the war began, global growth prospects being resilient and non‑oil commodity prices being strong and external financial conditions being supportive actually helped a lot of countries in the region. * [Countries](https://www.imf.org/en/Countries).
I
imf.org
article
https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo
* [About](https://www.imf.org/en/about). * [Fiscal Policies](https://www.imf.org/en/topics/fiscal-policies). * [World Economic Outlook](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo). * [Global Financial Stability Report](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/gfsr). * [World Economic Outlook](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo). * [Global Financial Stability Report](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/gfsr). * [Regional Economic Reports](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/reo). ###### [World Economic Outlook](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo). [Global Economy in the Shadow of War](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2026/04/14/world-economic-outlook-april-2026). [April 14, 2026](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2026/04/14/world-economic-outlook-april-2026). ###### [Global Financial Stability Report](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/gfsr). [Global Financial Markets Confront the War in the Middle East and Amplification Risks](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/gfsr/issues/2026/04/14/global-financial-stability-report-april-2026). [April 14, 2026](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/gfsr/issues/2026/04/14/global-financial-stability-report-april-2026). [Fiscal Policy under Pressure: High Debt, Rising Risks](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/fm/issues/2026/04/15/fiscal-monitor-april-2026). ###### [Regional Economic Outlook](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/reo). ###### [Global Economy in the Shadow of War](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2026/04/14/world-economic-outlook-april-2026). ###### [Global Economy: Steady amid Divergent Forces](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2026/01/19/world-economic-outlook-update-january-2026). ###### [Global Economy in Flux, Prospects Remain Dim](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2025/10/14/world-economic-outlook-october-2025). ###### [Global Economy: Tenuous Resilience amid Persistent Uncertainty](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2025/07/29/world-economic-outlook-update-july-2025). ###### [A Critical Juncture amid Policy Shifts](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2025/04/22/world-economic-outlook-april-2025). ###### [Global Growth: Divergent and Uncertain](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2025/01/17/world-economic-outlook-update-january-2025). ###### [World Economic Outlook, October 2024: Policy Pivot, Rising Threats](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2024/10/22/world-economic-outlook-october-2024). ###### [The Global Economy in a Sticky Spot](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2024/07/16/world-economic-outlook-update-july-2024). ###### [Steady but Slow: Resilience amid Divergence](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2024/04/16/world-economic-outlook-april-2024). ###### [World Economic Outlook Update, January 2024: Moderating Inflation and Steady Growth Open Path to Soft Landing](https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2024/01/30/world-economic-outlook-update-january-2024).
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goldmansachs.com
article
https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/outlooks/2026-outlooks
* [What We Do](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/outlooks/2026-outlooks#). * [Insights](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/outlooks/2026-outlooks#). * [Our Firm](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/outlooks/2026-outlooks#). * [Careers](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/outlooks/2026-outlooks#). * [What We Do](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/outlooks/2026-outlooks#). * [Insights](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/outlooks/2026-outlooks#). * [Our Firm](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/outlooks/2026-outlooks#). * [Careers](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/outlooks/2026-outlooks#). * [What We Do](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/outlooks/2026-outlooks#). * [Insights](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/outlooks/2026-outlooks#). * [Our Firm](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/outlooks/2026-outlooks#). * [Careers](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/outlooks/2026-outlooks#). * [What We Do](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/outlooks/2026-outlooks#). * [Insights](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/outlooks/2026-outlooks#). * [Our Firm](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/outlooks/2026-outlooks#). * [Careers](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/outlooks/2026-outlooks#). . . [ The Global Economy Is Forecast to Post ‘Sturdy’ Growth of 2.8% in 2026](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/articles/the-global-economy-forecast-to-post-sturdy-growth-in-2026). [ German Economic Outlook: 1.1% Growth in 2026](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/articles/german-economic-outlook-growth-in-2026). [ Investment Banking 2026 Global M&A Outlook](https://www.goldmansachs.com/what-we-do/investment-banking/insights/articles/2026-ma-outlook). [ Goldman Sachs Exchanges: Outlook 2026 Episode 1: The Big Picture](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/goldman-sachs-exchanges/goldman-sachs-exchanges-outlook-2026-episode-1-the-big-picture). [ Goldman Sachs Exchanges: Outlook 2026 Episode 2: Regional Perspectives](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/goldman-sachs-exchanges/goldman-sachs-exchanges-outlook-2026-episode-2-regional-perspectives). [ Goldman Sachs Exchanges: Outlook 2026 Episode 3: Assets and Allocation](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/goldman-sachs-exchanges/goldman-sachs-exchanges-outlook-2026-episode-3-assets-and-allocation). [ Will US Stocks Outperform in 2026?](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/goldman-sachs-exchanges/will-us-stocks-outperform-in-2026). [Read Report](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/goldman-sachs-research/macro-outlook-2026-sturdy-growth-stagnant-jobs-stable-prices "Read Report"). [Read Report](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/goldman-sachs-research/markets-outlook-2026-some-like-it-hot "Read Report"). [Read Report](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/goldman-sachs-research/equity-outlook-2026-tech-tonic-a-broadening-bull-market "Read Report"). [Read Report](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/goldman-sachs-research/commodity-outlook-2026-ride-the-power-race-and-supply-waves "Read Report"). [Read More](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/goldman-sachs-research/uk-outlook-2026-catching-down "Read More"). [Read More](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/goldman-sachs-research/euro-area-outlook-2026-cyclical-boost-structural-drag-unchanged-rates "Read More"). [Read More](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/goldman-sachs-research/japan-economic-outlook-2026-steady-fundamentals-policy-risks-ahead "Read More"). [Read More](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/goldman-sachs-research/global-fx-outlook-2026-different-dollar-downside "Read More"). [Your Privacy Choices](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/outlooks/2026-outlooks).
S
spglobal.com
research
https://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en/news-insights/research/2026/0…
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worldbank.org
article
https://www.worldbank.org/en/publication/global-economic-prospects
Inflation in low-income countries](https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/bitstreams/021dbb36-16b7-4d2e-bcd5-5c05f2643591/download)[Jan. 2020, SF 2](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2020.pdf). What is potential growth?[Jan. 2018, Box 3.1](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2018.pdf). Productivity and investment growth during reforms[Jan. 2018, Box 3.5](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2018.pdf). Sources of the growth slowdown in BRICS[Jan. 2016, Box 3.1](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2016.pdf). Fading promise: How to rekindle productivity growth[Jan. 2020, Chapter 3](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2020.pdf). Sectoral sources of productivity growth[Jan. 2020, Box 3.2](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2020.pdf). Debt, financial crises, and productivity[Jan. 2020, Box 3.4](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2020.pdf). Having space and using it: Fiscal policy challenges and developing economies[Jan. 2015, Chapter 3](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2015.pdf). Fiscal policy in low-income countries[Jan. 2015, Box 3.1](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2015.pdf). Narrow fiscal space and the risk of a debt crisis[Jan. 2015, Box 3.4](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2015.pdf). What does weak growth mean for poverty in the future?[Jan. 2015, Box 1.1](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2015.pdf). Countercyclical monetary policy in emerging markets: Review and evidence[Jan. 2015, Box 1.2](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2015.pdf). Having fiscal space and using it: Fiscal challenges in developing economies[Jan. 2015, Chapter 3](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2015.pdf). Fiscal policy in low-income countries[Jan. 2015, Box 3.1](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2015.pdf). Narrow fiscal space and the risk of a debt crisis[Jan. 2015, Box 3.4](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2015.pdf). Poverty impact of food price shocks and policies[Jan. 2019, Chapter 4](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2019.pdf).