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I
imf.org
article
https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo/issues/2026/04/14/world-economic-outl…
. . * [Assumptions and Conventions](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/assumandconv.pdf). * [Executive Summary](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/execsum.pdf). * [Foreword](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/foreword.pdf). * [IMF Executive Board Discussion of the Outlook](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/execboard.pdf). * [Blog](https://www.imf.org/en/blogs/articles/2026/04/14/war-darkens-global-economic-outlook-and-reshapes-policy-priorities). * [April 2026 Database](https://data.imf.org/en/datasets/IMF.RES:WEO). [Download Table](https://www.imf.org/-/media/images/imf/publications/weo/2026/april/english/weo-april-2026-projections-table.jpg). . [](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/ch1.pdf). * [Read Chapter 1](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/ch1.pdf). * [Chapter 1 Data](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/data/ch1data.xlsx). * [Online Annex](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/ch1onlineannex.pdf). * [Blog](https://www.imf.org/en/blogs/articles/2026/04/14/war-darkens-global-economic-outlook-and-reshapes-policy-priorities). * [April 2026 Database](https://data.imf.org/en/datasets/IMF.RES:WEO). [](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/ch2.pdf). * [Read Chapter 2](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/ch2.pdf). * [Chapter 2 Data](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/data/ch2data.xlsx). * [Chapters 2 and 3 Blog](https://www.imf.org/en/blogs/articles/2026/04/08/wars-impose-lasting-economic-costs-while-more-defense-spending-means-hard-choices?cid=wp-com-sm26-WEOEA2026001). * [Online Annexes](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/ch2onlineannex.pdf). [](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/ch3.pdf). * [Read Chapter 3](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/ch3.pdf). * [Chapter 3 Data](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/data/ch3data.xlsx). * [Chapters 2 and 3 Blog](https://www.imf.org/en/blogs/articles/2026/04/08/wars-impose-lasting-economic-costs-while-more-defense-spending-means-hard-choices?cid=wp-com-sm26-WEOEA2026001). * [online annexes](https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/weo/2026/april/english/ch3onlineannex.pdf). ###### [Statistical Appendix:](https://www.imf.org/-/media/Files/Publications/WEO/2026/April/English/statsappendix.ashx). [Data assumptions, conventions, and classifications](https://www.imf.org/-/media/Files/Publications/WEO/2026/April/English/statsappendix.ashx). ###### [Statistical Appendix A:](https://www.imf.org/-/media/Files/Publications/WEO/2026/April/English/tableA.ashx). [Key Global Economic Indicators](https://www.imf.org/-/media/Files/Publications/WEO/2026/April/English/tableA.ashx). ###### [Statistical Appendix B:](https://www.imf.org/-/media/Files/Publications/WEO/2026/April/English/tableB.ashx). [Supplemental Global Economic Indicators](https://www.imf.org/-/media/Files/Publications/WEO/2026/April/English/tableB.ashx). [](/en/publications/weo). [](/en/publications/gfsr). [](/en/publications/fm). [](https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/REO).
A
allianz.com
research
https://www.allianz.com/content/dam/onemarketing/azcom/Allianz_com/economic-r…
Sources: LSEG Datastream, Allianz Research Country Energy balance (% of GDP) Strategic oil reserves (days of consumption) Oil dependency (% primary energy) Gas dependency (% primary energy) Vulnerability to energy price shock Vulnerability to ME supply shock FX (% change vs USD) Bond yields (bps) Fiscal balance (% of GDP) Current Account (% of GDP) FX reserves (months of imports) FX outlook Central Bank stance (by mid-2026) Risk of fiscal slippage throughout 2026 Argentina 0.6 NA -8% 0% Medium Low 1.3 N/A -1.5 -0.4 3.8 Neutral On hold Low Bangladesh -3.5 49 19% 8% High High -0.5 36.0 -3.9 -0.9 4.9 Negative On hold High Brazil 0.9 NA -16% 2% Low Low -2.3 60.0 -7.5 -2.3 12.1 Positive Cautious easing Medium Chile -4.4 25 46% 9% High Medium -4.6 42.0 -0.6 -2.2 6.7 Negative On hold Low China -2.4 100 12% 3% Medium Medium -0.7 42.0 -5.0 2.8 12.3 Neutral On hold Medium Colombia 3.9 NA -34% 4% Low Low 1.0 -38.0 -5.7 -2.6 9.6 Negative Hike Medium Czechia -2.4 117 28% 12% High Medium -2.9 46.0 -2.1 0.4 9.3 Negative On hold Medium Egypt 0.0 NA 8% 9% Medium High -9.0 51.0 -10.7 -4.3 4.3 Negative On hold High Hungary -3.6 215 15% 20% High Medium -5.1 106.0 -5.1 0.9 3.7 Negative On hold High India -3.7 30 13% 4% High Medium -3.3 18.0 -1.8 -1.4 9.1 Neutral On hold Medium Indonesia 1.1 20 15% -3% Low Medium -1.3 44.0 -2.7 -1.2 7.1 Negative On hold High Kenya -4.5 NA 16% 2% High High -0.5 10.0 -5.6 -3.4 5.7 Negative On hold High Malaysia -0.4 NA 13% -19% Medium Medium -1.3 7.0 -3.6 1.8 5.3 Negative On hold High Mexico 0.7 NA 2% 6% Low Low -3.6 72.0 -4.1 -0.3 4.3 Neutral Cautious easing Medium Morocco -5.0 30 50% 15% High Medium -2.1 29.0 -4.5 -1.5 7.4 Neutral On hold Medium Nigeria 12.2 NA -48% -17% Low Low -1.2
C
cbo.gov
official
https://www.cbo.gov/publication/62105
Nominal GDP from 2026 to 2035 and inflation from 2026 to 2029 are now expected to be higher than previously projected. The forecast of short-
U
unctad.org
article
https://unctad.org/publication/world-economic-situation-and-prospects-2026
[Skip to main content](https://unctad.org/publication/world-economic-situation-and-prospects-2026#main-content). * [About](https://unctad.org/about). * [Commodities and Development Report](https://unctad.org/publications-search?f%5B0%5D=product%3A588). * [Digital Economy Report](https://unctad.org/publications-search?f%5B0%5D=product%3A598). * [Economic Development in Africa Report](https://unctad.org/publications-search?f%5B0%5D=product%3A390). * [Handbook of Statistics](https://unctad.org/publications-search?f%5B0%5D=product%3A396). * [Least Developed Countries Report](https://unctad.org/publications-search?f%5B0%5D=product%3A392). * [Review of Maritime Transport](https://unctad.org/publications-search?f%5B0%5D=product%3A393). * [Technology and Innovation Report](https://unctad.org/publications-search?f%5B0%5D=product%3A644). * [Trade and Development Report](https://unctad.org/publications-search?f%5B0%5D=product%3A394). * [World Investment Report](https://unctad.org/publications-search?f%5B0%5D=product%3A397). * [Global Investment Trends Monitor](https://unctad.org/publications-search?f%5B0%5D=product%3A609). * [Global Trade Update](https://unctad.org/publications-search?f%5B0%5D=product%3A1572). * [Policy briefs](https://unctad.org/publications-search?f%5B0%5D=product%3A655). * [Rapid assessments](https://unctad.org/publications-search?f%5B0%5D=product%3A412). * [Working papers](https://unctad.org/publications-search?f%5B0%5D=product%3A389). * [Debt Management Conference](https://unctad.org/meetings-search?f[0]=product%3A345). * [Ocean Forum](https://unctad.org/meetings-search?f[0]=product%3A1848). * [Investment, enterprise and development](https://unctad.org/meetings-search?f%5B0%5D=product%3A322). * [Trade and development](https://unctad.org/meetings-search?f%5B0%5D=product%3A319). * [Expert meetings](https://unctad.org/meetings-search?f%5B0%5D=product%3A316). * [Competition law and policy](https://unctad.org/meetings-search?f%5B0%5D=product%3A1453). * [Consumer protection law and policy](https://unctad.org/meetings-search?f%5B0%5D=product%3A1454). * [E-commerce and the digital economy](https://unctad.org/meetings-search?f%5B0%5D=product%3A335). * [Financing for development](https://unctad.org/meetings-search?f%5B0%5D=product%3A336). * [International standards of accounting and reporting](https://unctad.org/meetings-search?f%5B0%5D=product%3A1459). [](https://unctad.org/publication/world-economic-situation-and-prospects-2026). * [World Economic Situation and Prospects](https://unctad.org/publications-search?f[0]=product%3A658 "World Economic Situation and Prospects"). [Critical minerals](https://unctad.org/publications-search?f[0]=thematic%3A1076). [Debt servicing](https://unctad.org/publications-search?f[0]=thematic%3A1106). [Debt sustainability](https://unctad.org/publications-search?f[0]=thematic%3A1107). [Economic analysis](https://unctad.org/publications-search?f[0]=thematic%3A1161). [Economic policy](https://unctad.org/publications-search?f[0]=thematic%3A1169). [Trade analysis](https://unctad.org/publications-search?f[0]=thematic%3A1380). [SDG 1 No Poverty](https://unctad.org/publications-search?f[0]=thematic%3A1142). [SDG 8 Decent Work and Economic Growth](https://unctad.org/publications-search?f[0]=thematic%3A1149). [SDG 10 Reduced Inequalities](https://unctad.org/publications-search?f[0]=thematic%3A1151). [SDG 17 Partnerships for the Goals](https://unctad.org/publications-search?f[0]=thematic%3A1158).
G
goldmansachs.com
article
https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/articles/forecasts-for-the-worlds-bigge…
* [What We Do](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/articles/forecasts-for-the-worlds-biggest-economies-in-2026#). * [Insights](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/articles/forecasts-for-the-worlds-biggest-economies-in-2026#). * [Our Firm](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/articles/forecasts-for-the-worlds-biggest-economies-in-2026#). * [Careers](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/articles/forecasts-for-the-worlds-biggest-economies-in-2026#). * [What We Do](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/articles/forecasts-for-the-worlds-biggest-economies-in-2026#). * [Insights](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/articles/forecasts-for-the-worlds-biggest-economies-in-2026#). * [Our Firm](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/articles/forecasts-for-the-worlds-biggest-economies-in-2026#). * [Careers](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/articles/forecasts-for-the-worlds-biggest-economies-in-2026#). * [What We Do](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/articles/forecasts-for-the-worlds-biggest-economies-in-2026#). * [Insights](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/articles/forecasts-for-the-worlds-biggest-economies-in-2026#). * [Our Firm](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/articles/forecasts-for-the-worlds-biggest-economies-in-2026#). * [Careers](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/articles/forecasts-for-the-worlds-biggest-economies-in-2026#). * [What We Do](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/articles/forecasts-for-the-worlds-biggest-economies-in-2026#). * [Insights](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/articles/forecasts-for-the-worlds-biggest-economies-in-2026#). * [Our Firm](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/articles/forecasts-for-the-worlds-biggest-economies-in-2026#). * [Careers](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/articles/forecasts-for-the-worlds-biggest-economies-in-2026#). [Share](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/articles/forecasts-for-the-worlds-biggest-economies-in-2026#). . . Goldman Sachs Research expects “sturdy” global economic growth in 2026, with some of the world’s biggest economies getting a boost from higher fiscal spending, declining policy rates, and a reduced tariff impact. Overall, [Goldman Sachs Research](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/goldman-sachs-research) forecasts global real (inflation-adjusted) GDP to increase 2.9% in 2026—higher than the consensus estimate of 2.7%. Scroll down to see Goldman Sachs Research’s 2026 forecasts for some of the world’s [biggest economies](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/macroeconomics). In Japan, Goldman Sachs Research expects steady growth to continue, with 0.6% real GDP growth this year. * [Life at GS](https://www.goldmansachs.com/careers/life-at-goldman-sachs "Life at GS Link"). [Your Privacy Choices](https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/articles/forecasts-for-the-worlds-biggest-economies-in-2026).
F
facebook.com
news
https://www.facebook.com/joinundesa/posts/what-is-the-outlook-for-developed-e…
The OECD now expects global growth of 3.2% this year, compared to the 2.9% expansion it had forecast in June. Expectations for 2026 were
D
deloitte.com
article
https://www.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/topics/economy/us-economic-forecast/u…
This reflects the sizable capital expenditure plans that AI “hyperscalers” have announced for this year.[4](https://www.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/topics/economy/us-economic-forecast/united-states-outlook-analysis.html#endnote-4)We now expect real business investment to grow by 4% in 2026—an acceleration from the second half of 2025. The federal deficit is expected to remain above 6% of GDP through 2030, exceeding the Congressional Budget Office’s (CBO) baseline expectation.[6](https://www.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/topics/economy/us-economic-forecast/united-states-outlook-analysis.html#endnote-6)The larger expected deficit is partially due to our lower forecast for net migration. Companies are attempting to reclaim tariffs they paid after the Supreme Court ruled that the tariffs imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act are impermissible.[11](https://www.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/topics/economy/us-economic-forecast/united-states-outlook-analysis.html#endnote-11) Because we expect companies to recoup those funds, they are also likely to be more restrained in the near term when passing tariff costs on to consumers. The University of Michigan’s survey of inflation expectations in five years was 3.2% in March, down from 4.1% one year earlier.[12](https://www.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/topics/economy/us-economic-forecast/united-states-outlook-analysis.html#endnote-12). Stock markets have shown considerable strength, with the S&P 500 stock price continuing to grow at double-digit year-over-year rates at the time of this writing.[13](https://www.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/topics/economy/us-economic-forecast/united-states-outlook-analysis.html#endnote-13)Optimism around the potential of AI has boosted earnings and raised expectations of future growth.
W
worldbank.org
article
https://www.worldbank.org/en/publication/global-economic-prospects
Inflation in low-income countries](https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/bitstreams/021dbb36-16b7-4d2e-bcd5-5c05f2643591/download)[Jan. 2020, SF 2](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2020.pdf). What is potential growth?[Jan. 2018, Box 3.1](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2018.pdf). Productivity and investment growth during reforms[Jan. 2018, Box 3.5](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2018.pdf). Sources of the growth slowdown in BRICS[Jan. 2016, Box 3.1](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2016.pdf). Fading promise: How to rekindle productivity growth[Jan. 2020, Chapter 3](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2020.pdf). Sectoral sources of productivity growth[Jan. 2020, Box 3.2](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2020.pdf). Debt, financial crises, and productivity[Jan. 2020, Box 3.4](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2020.pdf). Having space and using it: Fiscal policy challenges and developing economies[Jan. 2015, Chapter 3](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2015.pdf). Fiscal policy in low-income countries[Jan. 2015, Box 3.1](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2015.pdf). Narrow fiscal space and the risk of a debt crisis[Jan. 2015, Box 3.4](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2015.pdf). What does weak growth mean for poverty in the future?[Jan. 2015, Box 1.1](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2015.pdf). Countercyclical monetary policy in emerging markets: Review and evidence[Jan. 2015, Box 1.2](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2015.pdf). Having fiscal space and using it: Fiscal challenges in developing economies[Jan. 2015, Chapter 3](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2015.pdf). Fiscal policy in low-income countries[Jan. 2015, Box 3.1](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2015.pdf). Narrow fiscal space and the risk of a debt crisis[Jan. 2015, Box 3.4](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2015.pdf). Poverty impact of food price shocks and policies[Jan. 2019, Chapter 4](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/4aa0b654ecdbaf8302d5901aaada3fbf-0350012021/related/Global-Economic-Prospects-January-2019.pdf).